Result
6:5
06/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 2.51 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 14.71% (5/34) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.29% (29/34) | 75% (18/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 50% (2/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.4 | 56.6 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 08:10, 0 - 1, Karvinen R. (Penalty Shot),
- 19:04, 1 - 1, Tammela J. (G), Juhola P. (A), Noiva N. (A2)
- 2nd Period (4 - 3)
- 00:09, 1 - 2, Stapley B. (G),
- 02:51, 1 - 3, Dudas A. (G), Stapley B. (A), Johannesen J. (A2)
- 04:01, 2 - 3, Juhola P. (G), Boelius L. (A), Maatta R. (A2)
- 07:24, 3 - 3, Juhola P. (G), Noiva N. (A),
- 08:12, Stapley B. (2 min),
- 11:48, 3 - 4, Huzevka S. (G), Kettunen A. (A), Nieminen D. (A2)
- 13:06, 4 - 4, Tammela J. (G), Juhola P. (A),
- 18:13, Kousa M. (2 min),
- 19:30, 5 - 4, Nurmi P. (G), Juhola P. (A), Tammela J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 06:39, Jurgens C. (2 min),
- 07:13, 6 - 4, Juhola P. (G), Nurmi P. (A), Noiva N. (A2)
- 09:10, Vanderbeck A. (2 min),
- 13:01, 6 - 5, Kumpula J. (G), Nieminen D. (A), Dudas A. (A2)
- 13:17, Noiva N. (2 min),
- 15:32, Puutio K. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ässät
39.8% | Draw
25.5% | Pelicans
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ässät, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pelicans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ässät - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.34) |
3.59 ↑
(3.49) |
2.69 ↓
(2.8) |
7.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Ässät - Pelicans?
Users Predictions:
Ässät will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 2.
- In recent matches, Ässät has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pelicans is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Pelicans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 43:47. (average 2.2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.7:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Pelicans?
Ässät has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Ässät?
Pelicans has won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - Pelicans were as follows:
20.12.2025
Pelicans
-
Ässät
2:1
19.12.2025
Ässät
-
Pelicans
1:2
22.11.2025
Pelicans
-
Ässät
2:0
05.03.2025
Pelicans
-
Ässät
1:3
13.12.2024
Ässät
-
Pelicans
2:0
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
