Result
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Chances of winning
Pelicans
49.3% | Draw
23.7% | HPK
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Pelicans - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.88) |
3.88 ↑
(3.73) |
3.47 ↓
(3.71) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 1.
- Recent form of Pelicans has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, HPK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- HPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pelicans could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 50:42. (average 2.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 3.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against HPK?
Pelicans has won 13 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Pelicans?
HPK has won 8 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - HPK were as follows:
01.11.2025
HPK
-
Pelicans
2:1
31.10.2025
Pelicans
-
HPK
5:2
26.09.2025
HPK
-
Pelicans
5:2
01.02.2025
HPK
-
Pelicans
4:1
31.01.2025
Pelicans
-
HPK
1:3
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 37 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 134:86 | 75 |
| 2 | Lukko | 37 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 116:91 | 69 |
| 3 | JYP | 35 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 129:105 | 66 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 37 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 131:98 | 66 |
| 5 | SaiPa | 38 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 126:106 | 65 |
| 6 | Ilves | 37 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 114:99 | 63 |
| 7 | Assat | 37 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 108:95 | 62 |
| 8 | KalPa | 36 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 111:117 | 59 |
| 9 | TPS Turku | 38 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 90:103 | 51 |
| 10 | IFK Helsinki | 37 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 84:115 | 50 |
| 11 | Kiekko-Espoo | 38 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 97:113 | 50 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 82:96 | 46 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 35 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 69:88 | 45 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 39 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 93:113 | 45 |
| 15 | Karpat | 38 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 116:128 | 42 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 37 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 76:123 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
