Result
1:4
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 2.16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.45% (1/29) | 14.81% (4/27) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.19% (23/27) | 96.55% (28/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 29 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 55.56 | 44.44 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 09:53, 0 - 1, Jordan M. (G), Karvinen R. (A), Batna O. (A2)
- 10:59, 0 - 2, Kumpula J. (G), Zetterberg L. (A), Stapley B. (A2)
- 18:27, Amhamdi O. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 03:05, 1 - 2, Loponen M. (G), Paivarinta S. (A), Kukkonen M. (A2)
- 03:27, Amhamdi O. (5 min),
- 03:27, Skinnari A. (2 min),
- 12:40, 1 - 3, Batna O. (G), Nieminen K. (A), Jurgens C. (A2)
- 16:04, Loponen M. (2 min),
- 16:57, 1 - 4, Karvinen R. (G), Stapley B. (A), Jordan M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 04:31, Teutari E. (2 min),
Chances of winning
HPK
54.1% | Draw
23.3% | Pelicans
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPK's performance.Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pelicans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HPK that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pelicans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HPK - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.92) |
4.04 ↓
(4.2) |
4.08 ↑
(3.2) |
7.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Pelicans is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Pelicans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- HPK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 46:50. (average 2.3:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 2.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Pelicans?
HPK has won 9 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against HPK?
Pelicans has won 14 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Pelicans were as follows:
13.03.2026
Pelicans
-
HPK
3:2
10.01.2026
Pelicans
-
HPK
1:4
01.11.2025
HPK
-
Pelicans
2:1
31.10.2025
Pelicans
-
HPK
5:2
26.09.2025
HPK
-
Pelicans
5:2
Latest results of Pelicans
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 1 : 1 |
