Result
1:4
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 3.03 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5.26% (1/19) | 16% (4/25) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 87.5% (21/24) | 94.74% (18/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 42.59 | 57.41 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 01:51, 1 - 0, Vanderbeck A. (G), Jordan M. (A), Vaananen M. (A2)
- 03:58, Jokirinne V. (2 min),
- 07:38, Falk H. (2 min),
- 12:52, 1 - 1, Kopiloff O. (G), Rautiainen T. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 00:19, 1 - 2, Paivarinta S. (G), Korhonen O. (A), Eronen E. (A2)
- 07:02, Skinnari A. (2 min),
- 16:36, Luhanka E. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 07:48, 1 - 3, Vesterinen R. (G), Nikkila P. (A), Skinnari A. (A2)
- 09:11, Loponen M. (2 min),
- 19:49, 1 - 4, Kainulainen H. (G),
Chances of winning
Pelicans
49.8% | Draw
23.7% | HPK
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Pelicans - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88
(1.88) |
3.88 ↑
(3.73) |
3.56 ↓
(3.71) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
What is the prediction for Pelicans - HPK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. HPK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 1.
- Recent form of Pelicans has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, HPK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- HPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pelicans could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 50:42. (average 2.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 3.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against HPK?
Pelicans has won 13 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Pelicans?
HPK has won 8 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - HPK were as follows:
01.11.2025
HPK
-
Pelicans
2:1
31.10.2025
Pelicans
-
HPK
5:2
26.09.2025
HPK
-
Pelicans
5:2
01.02.2025
HPK
-
Pelicans
4:1
31.01.2025
Pelicans
-
HPK
1:3
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
