HPK vs Pelicans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga HPK - Pelicans
26/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


HPK
49.9%
Draw
23.2%
Pelicans
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 24.9% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 23.7% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • HPK - Pelicans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.91)
    4.06
    (3.72)
    3.46
    (3.47)
    6.4%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 4.
    • Recent performances by HPK have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pelicans is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Pelicans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • HPK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 39:54. (average 2:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 2.5:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Pelicans were as follows:
    01.02.2025 HPK - Pelicans 4:1
    31.01.2025 Pelicans - HPK 1:3
    14.12.2024 Pelicans - HPK 2:3
    15.11.2024 HPK - Pelicans 5:2
    18.10.2024 Pelicans - HPK 4:0
    Latest results of HPK
    20.09.2025 HPK - Kiekko-Espoo 3:2
    19.09.2025 Lukko - HPK 6:0
    13.09.2025 HPK - Vaasan Sport 4:1
    12.09.2025 Ässät - HPK 4:1
    09.09.2025 HPK - TPS 2:3
    Latest results of Pelicans
    24.09.2025 HIFK - Pelicans 3:2
    20.09.2025 JYP - Pelicans 5:1
    19.09.2025 Pelicans - Ilves 2:3
    17.09.2025 TPS - Pelicans 3:1
    13.09.2025 Pelicans - HIFK 5:2
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1TPS Turku7411117:1315
    2Kiekko-Espoo7402121:1614
    3Assat5400122:1012
    4Tappara5400121:912
    5JYP5400123:1412
    6Lukko6300322:199
    7KooKoo6210319:228
    8KalPa6210319:258
    9SaiPa6201319:207
    10Pelicans6112212:167
    11Vaasan Sport6200414:156
    12Karpat5200315:186
    13Jukurit5200312:186
    14Hameenlinna5111210:166
    15Ilves6110417:235
    16IFK Helsinki6110414:235

          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Liiga (Play Out: )