HPK vs Pelicans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga HPK - Pelicans
Result
5:2
26/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.691.56
Shots on Goal
3014
Shots off target
126
Shooting PCT
16.67% (5/30)14.29% (2/14)
Blocked Shots
105
Goalkeeper Saves
1225
Saves PCT
85.71% (12/14)86.21% (25/29)
Penalties
26
PIM
412
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)50% (1/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (1/2)83.33% (5/6)
Faceoffs Won
3129
Faceoffs %
51.6748.33
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:08, Jurgens C. (2 min),
  • 03:50, 1 - 0, Wright C. (G), Kiiskinen J. (A), Eronen E. (A2)
  • 05:21, Vilen E. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 05:14, 2 - 0, Paivarinta S. (G), Korhonen O. (A), Alitalo V. (A2)
  • 06:11, (2 min),
  • 18:59, Teutari E. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 2)
  • 04:43, Forsberg C. (2 min),
  • 11:30, 3 - 0, Wright C. (G), Jokirinne V. (A), Vesalainen K. (A2)
  • 13:12, Wright C. (Penalty Shot),
  • 13:12, Teutari E. (2 min),
  • 13:31, Wright C. (2 min),
  • 15:17, 3 - 1, Ciernik A. (G), Vilen E. (A), Jordan M. (A2)
  • 15:29, 4 - 1, Andzans A. (G), Vesterinen R. (A),
  • 16:03, 4 - 2, Johannesen J. (G), Vilen E. (A),
  • 18:36, 5 - 2, Rautiainen T. (G),

Chances of winning


HPK
53.7%
Draw
22.7%
Pelicans
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 24.9% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 23.7% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPK's performance.
  • Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • HPK - Pelicans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.91)
    4.3
    (3.72)
    4.22
    (3.47)
    3.4%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
    What is the prediction for HPK - Pelicans?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. HPK will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Pelicans will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 4.
    • HPK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pelicans is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Pelicans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • HPK could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 39:54. (average 2:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 2.5:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Pelicans were as follows:
    01.02.2025 HPK - Pelicans 4:1
    31.01.2025 Pelicans - HPK 1:3
    14.12.2024 Pelicans - HPK 2:3
    15.11.2024 HPK - Pelicans 5:2
    18.10.2024 Pelicans - HPK 4:0
    Latest results of HPK
    20.09.2025 HPK - Kiekko-Espoo 3:2
    19.09.2025 Lukko - HPK 6:0
    13.09.2025 HPK - Vaasan Sport 4:1
    12.09.2025 Ässät - HPK 4:1
    09.09.2025 HPK - TPS 2:3
    Latest results of Pelicans
    24.09.2025 HIFK - Pelicans 3:2
    20.09.2025 JYP - Pelicans 5:1
    19.09.2025 Pelicans - Ilves 2:3
    17.09.2025 TPS - Pelicans 3:1
    13.09.2025 Pelicans - HIFK 5:2
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat11800339:2324
    2JYP12800447:3624
    3SaiPa13621444:3523
    4KooKoo13620546:4122
    5Tappara12700539:2821
    6Kiekko-Espoo13603436:3521
    7Lukko13610635:3420
    8Jukurit13610634:3920
    9KalPa11431333:3419
    10TPS Turku12422429:2818
    11Hameenlinna12422432:3418
    12Karpat13501745:4516
    13Vaasan Sport13402734:4014
    14Pelicans12223523:3413
    15Ilves13311831:4512
    16IFK Helsinki12311725:4112

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