Result
2:3 OT
20/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.17 | 2.11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8.7% (2/23) | 10.71% (3/28) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.29% (25/28) | 91.3% (21/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 80% (4/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 36 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 60 | 40 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 04:07, Klintrup E. (2 min),
- 15:20, 0 - 1, Vilen E. (G), Kumpula J. (A), Batna O. (A2)
- 16:21, Rantakari O. (2 min),
- 19:48, Vilen E. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 06:20, 1 - 1, Nikkanen H. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A), Svensk V. (A2)
- 10:50, Jurgens C. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 01:34, Rantakari O. (2 min),
- 03:50, Rantakari O. (2 min),
- 05:43, 2 - 1, Airola S. (G), Fortier M. (A), Naukkarinen J. (A2)
- 18:01, 2 - 2, Vaananen M. (G), Stapley B. (A), Vilen E. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 00:32, 2 - 3, Vaananen M. (G), Carlsson P. (A),
Chances of winning
SaiPa 55.9% | Draw 21% | Pelicans 23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
SaiPa - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↓ (1.79) |
4.34 ↓ (4.55) |
3.97 ↑ (3.58) |
7.3% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 3.
- SaiPa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pelicans is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- SaiPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, SaiPa is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 45:79. (average 2.3:4).
- Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 1.9:3.8).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Pelicans?
SaiPa has won 4 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against SaiPa?
Pelicans has won 13 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - Pelicans were as follows:
27.09.2025
Pelicans
-
SaiPa
2:5
08.03.2025
Pelicans
-
SaiPa
3:4
10.01.2025
SaiPa
-
Pelicans
2:4
18.12.2024
Pelicans
-
SaiPa
6:3
25.10.2024
SaiPa
-
Pelicans
3:1
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)