Result
4:1
11/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 2.62 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 19.05% (4/21) | 3.13% (1/32) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.88% (31/32) | 85% (17/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 31 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 80% (4/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 33 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 00:49, (2 min),
- 07:33, Batna O. (5 min),
- 14:21, Salomaki M. (2 min),
- 14:38, 1 - 0, Dudas A. (G), Kumpula J. (A), Stapley B. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 06:33, 2 - 0, Virtanen N. (G), Luhanka E. (A), Nieminen K. (A2)
- 15:33, Kivihalme T. (2 min),
- 17:38, 3 - 0, Nieminen K. (G), Kettunen A. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:08, Nikkanen H. (2 min),
- 02:23, Kivihalme T. (2 min),
- 02:23, Nieminen K. (2 min),
- 05:55, Vaananen M. (2 min),
- 09:21, 3 - 1, Nikkanen H. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A), Fortier M. (A2)
- 18:56, 4 - 1, Vaananen M. (G), Kumpula J. (A), Falk H. (A2)
Chances of winning
Pelicans
28.1% | Draw
23.4% | SaiPa
48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SaiPa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pelicans - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↑
(3.29) |
4.06 ↑
(3.75) |
1.94 ↓
(2) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Pelicans - SaiPa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
SaiPa will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 2.
- Pelicans has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- SaiPa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- SaiPa could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 75:45. (average 3.8:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:24. (average 3.9:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against SaiPa?
Pelicans has won 14 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Pelicans?
SaiPa has won 5 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - SaiPa were as follows:
07.03.2026
SaiPa
-
Pelicans
4:2
20.11.2025
SaiPa
-
Pelicans
2:3
27.09.2025
Pelicans
-
SaiPa
2:5
08.03.2025
Pelicans
-
SaiPa
3:4
10.01.2025
SaiPa
-
Pelicans
2:4
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
