Result
2:5
27/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 2.77 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.33% (2/15) | 16.67% (5/30) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 86.21% (25/29) | 86.67% (13/15) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 50% (2/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 36 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.75 | 56.25 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 06:40, Ciernik A. (2 min),
- 07:04, 0 - 1, Siikanen P. (G), Hokkanen O. (A), Salomaki M. (A2)
- 09:57, (2 min),
- 12:36, 1 - 1, Edmonds L. (G), Jordan M. (A), Nieminen K. (A2)
- 13:01, 1 - 2, Klintrup E. (G), Appelgren N. (A), Bau S. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 04:13, Kivihalme T. (2 min),
- 08:04, Forsberg C. (2 min),
- 09:33, 1 - 3, Nikkanen H. (G), Airola S. (A), Heikkila J. (A2)
- 12:10, Siikanen P. (2 min),
- 17:34, 1 - 4, Nikkanen H. (G), Fortier M. (A), Appelgren N. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:56, Nieminen D. (2 min),
- 12:07, Hokkanen O. (2 min),
- 17:36, 1 - 5, Naukkarinen J. (G),
- 18:49, 2 - 5, Nieminen D. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Pelicans
29.3% | Draw
22.9% | SaiPa
47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pelicans's form might have worsened.SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SaiPa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pelicans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SaiPa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pelicans - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(2.15) |
4.14 ↓
(4.5) |
1.97 ↓
(2.74) |
6.4%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Pelicans - SaiPa?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 3.
- Pelicans has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- SaiPa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Pelicans has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 80:40. (average 4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:23. (average 4.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against SaiPa?
Pelicans has won 13 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Pelicans?
SaiPa has won 3 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - SaiPa were as follows:
08.03.2025
Pelicans
-
SaiPa
3:4
10.01.2025
SaiPa
-
Pelicans
2:4
18.12.2024
Pelicans
-
SaiPa
6:3
25.10.2024
SaiPa
-
Pelicans
3:1
12.03.2024
Pelicans
-
SaiPa
3:0
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
