Result
1:5
01/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 26', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 4, ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 5, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Peña Balsamaiso
7.2% | Draw
15.1% | Arnedo
77.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Balsamaiso's form might have worsened.Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arnedo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Balsamaiso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arnedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peña Balsamaiso - Arnedo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
12.79 ↑
(6.77) |
6.07 ↑
(4.38) |
1.18 ↓
(1.38) |
9%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
- Peña Balsamaiso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Arnedo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arnedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Arnedo is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Balsamaiso won against Arnedo?
Peña Balsamaiso has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arnedo won against Peña Balsamaiso?
Arnedo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peña Balsamaiso - Arnedo were as follows:
18.10.2025
Arnedo
-
Peña Balsamaiso
5:0
16.03.2025
Peña Balsamaiso
-
Arnedo
2:1
01.11.2024
Arnedo
-
Peña Balsamaiso
3:0
18.02.2024
Peña Balsamaiso
-
Arnedo
0:0
Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 81:21 | 60 | 74 |
| 2 | Varea | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 49:23 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 66:23 | 43 | 62 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 71:21 | 50 | 55 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 46 |
| 9 | Vianes | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 | Yague | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Berceo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:52 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | Comillas | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 26:51 | -25 | 31 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Villegas | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 32:60 | -28 | 26 |
| 17 | Autol | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18:70 | -52 | 14 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 30 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 22:71 | -49 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
