Result
1:5
01/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 26', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 4, ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 5, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Peña Balsamaiso
7.2% | Draw
15.1% | Arnedo
77.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Balsamaiso's form might have worsened.Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arnedo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Balsamaiso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arnedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peña Balsamaiso - Arnedo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
12.79 ↑
(6.77) |
6.07 ↑
(4.38) |
1.18 ↓
(1.38) |
9%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
- Peña Balsamaiso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Arnedo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arnedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Arnedo is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Balsamaiso won against Arnedo?
Peña Balsamaiso has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arnedo won against Peña Balsamaiso?
Arnedo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peña Balsamaiso - Arnedo were as follows:
18.10.2025
Arnedo
-
Peña Balsamaiso
5:0
16.03.2025
Peña Balsamaiso
-
Arnedo
2:1
01.11.2024
Arnedo
-
Peña Balsamaiso
3:0
18.02.2024
Peña Balsamaiso
-
Arnedo
0:0
Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 33 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 94:22 | 72 | 83 |
| 2 | Varea | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 71:26 | 45 | 69 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 82:22 | 60 | 62 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 58 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 47:36 | 11 | 57 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39:57 | -18 | 39 |
| 11 | Berceo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Yague | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 37:54 | -17 | 35 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:46 | -17 | 35 |
| 15 | Comillas | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 31:58 | -27 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 36:65 | -29 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18:79 | -61 | 15 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 33 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 27:81 | -54 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
