Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Berceo 62.8% | Draw 22.5% | Peña Balsamaiso 14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Berceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Peña Balsamaiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Berceo - Peña Balsamaiso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↑ (1.39) |
4.02 ↓ (4.2) |
6.19 ↓ (6.58) |
10.4% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 1.
- Berceo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peña Balsamaiso is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Peña Balsamaiso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Berceo is the clear favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Berceo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Berceo won against Peña Balsamaiso?
Berceo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Balsamaiso won against Berceo?
Peña Balsamaiso has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Berceo - Peña Balsamaiso were as follows:
06.09.2025
Peña Balsamaiso
-
Berceo
2:2
12.04.2025
Peña Balsamaiso
-
Berceo
1:3
30.11.2024
Berceo
-
Peña Balsamaiso
0:2
14.01.2024
Peña Balsamaiso
-
Berceo
3:0
12.03.2023
Berceo
-
Peña Balsamaiso
2:2
Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 81:21 | 60 | 74 |
| 2 | Varea | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 49:23 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 66:23 | 43 | 62 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 71:21 | 50 | 55 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 46 |
| 9 | Vianes | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 | Yague | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Berceo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:52 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | Comillas | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 26:51 | -25 | 31 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Villegas | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 32:60 | -28 | 26 |
| 17 | Autol | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18:70 | -52 | 14 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 30 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 22:71 | -49 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation