San Marcial vs Peña Balsamaiso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 23

Match Stats

Red cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 90+1', 🟥,
  • 90+3', 🟥,

Chances of winning


San Marcial
61.1%
Draw
23%
Peña Balsamaiso
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 21.9% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 20.1% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Peña Balsamaiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • San Marcial - Peña Balsamaiso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.45)
    3.99
    (4.15)
    5.75
    (5.86)
    9.1%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by San Marcial have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Peña Balsamaiso is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, San Marcial is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcial won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcial - Peña Balsamaiso were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Peña Balsamaiso - San Marcial 0:0
    Latest results of San Marcial
    15.02.2026 Autol - San Marcial 0:4
    08.02.2026 San Marcial - Berceo 1:1
    25.01.2026 San Marcial - Oyonesa 1:2
    18.01.2026 Pradejón - San Marcial 0:0
    Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B24177057:144358
    2Varea24184241:152658
    3Anguiano24137434:191546
    4Arnedo24128444:212344
    5Oyonesa24124836:30640
    6Calahorra24109557:193839
    7Agoncillo24116743:291439
    8Haro Deportivo24105938:37135
    9Yague2489736:32433
    10Vianes24861026:32-630
    11Pradejon24761121:28-727
    12Berceo24681029:36-726
    13CDFC Calzada24751228:37-926
    14San Marcial24751225:37-1226
    15Comillas24731420:45-2524
    16Villegas24641423:49-2622
    17Autol24341717:54-3713
    18Pena Balsamaiso24081616:57-418

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