Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 90+1', 🟥,
- 90+3', 🟥,
Chances of winning
San Marcial 61.1% | Draw 23% | Peña Balsamaiso 15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Peña Balsamaiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+1%)
San Marcial - Peña Balsamaiso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.5 ↑ (1.45) |
3.99 ↓ (4.15) |
5.75 ↓ (5.86) |
9.1% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by San Marcial have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peña Balsamaiso is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, San Marcial is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcial won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcial won against Peña Balsamaiso?
San Marcial has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Balsamaiso won against San Marcial?
Peña Balsamaiso has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcial - Peña Balsamaiso were as follows:
12.10.2025
Peña Balsamaiso
-
San Marcial
0:0
Latest results of San Marcial
Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 68:19 | 49 | 65 |
| 2 | Varea | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 61 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 58:23 | 35 | 53 |
| 4 | Oyonesa | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Anguiano | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Calahorra | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 63:19 | 44 | 48 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 46:36 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 | Haro Deportivo | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Yague | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 41:36 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Vianes | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Comillas | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 31 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:46 | -17 | 30 |
| 13 | Berceo | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 22:34 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | CDFC Calzada | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31:47 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Villegas | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 29:55 | -26 | 25 |
| 17 | Autol | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17:64 | -47 | 13 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 27 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 18:61 | -43 | 10 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation