Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 90+1', 🟥,
- 90+3', 🟥,
Chances of winning
San Marcial
61.1% | Draw
23% | Peña Balsamaiso
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Peña Balsamaiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+1%)
San Marcial - Peña Balsamaiso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.45) |
3.99 ↓
(4.15) |
5.75 ↓
(5.86) |
9.1%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by San Marcial have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peña Balsamaiso is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, San Marcial is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcial won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcial won against Peña Balsamaiso?
San Marcial has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Balsamaiso won against San Marcial?
Peña Balsamaiso has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcial - Peña Balsamaiso were as follows:
12.10.2025
Peña Balsamaiso
-
San Marcial
0:0
Latest results of San Marcial
Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 81:21 | 60 | 74 |
| 2 | Varea | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 49:23 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 66:23 | 43 | 62 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 71:21 | 50 | 55 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 46 |
| 9 | Vianes | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 | Yague | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Berceo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:52 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | Comillas | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 26:51 | -25 | 31 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Villegas | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 32:60 | -28 | 26 |
| 17 | Autol | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18:70 | -52 | 14 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 30 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 22:71 | -49 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
