Result
3:2
07/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Muntaner B. ⚽,
- 15', 2 - 0, Vinicius Amorim ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 90+7', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+8', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Felanitx
9.1% | Draw
19.7% | Peña Deportiva
71.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felanitx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peña Deportiva's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felanitx than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Felanitx - Peña Deportiva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.02 ↑
(7.34) |
4.61 ↑
(4.1) |
1.28 ↓
(1.37) |
9.8%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Felanitx has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peña Deportiva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Felanitx may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Peña Deportiva is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Felanitx won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Felanitx won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Felanitx won against Peña Deportiva?
Felanitx has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Deportiva won against Felanitx?
Peña Deportiva has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Felanitx - Peña Deportiva were as follows:
28.09.2025
Peña Deportiva
-
Felanitx
4:1
Latest results of Felanitx
Latest results of Peña Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 27 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 78:16 | 62 | 69 |
| 2 | Manacor | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 59:27 | 32 | 67 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 57 |
| 4 | Llosetense | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 49 |
| 5 | Constancia | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 6 | Mercadal | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 23:23 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 40 |
| 8 | Formentera | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | Santanyi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 11 | Alcudia | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 26:47 | -21 | 33 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 | Binissalem | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 20:27 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31:44 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Portmany | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 19:37 | -18 | 25 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 22 |
| 17 | Collerense | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 16 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24:54 | -30 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
