Rotlet Molinar vs Peña Deportiva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', 0 - 2, ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Rotlet Molinar
10.3%
Draw
17%
Peña Deportiva
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 23.5% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 24.4% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotlet Molinar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotlet Molinar's form might have worsened.
  • Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peña Deportiva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotlet Molinar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotlet Molinar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peña Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rotlet Molinar - Peña Deportiva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.61
    (5.58)
    5.83
    (3.87)
    1.36
    (1.51)
    1.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).
    • Rotlet Molinar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Peña Deportiva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rotlet Molinar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peña Deportiva is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rotlet Molinar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rotlet Molinar - Peña Deportiva were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Peña Deportiva - Rotlet Molinar 2:1
    Latest results of Rotlet Molinar
    Latest results of Peña Deportiva
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manacor23192251:232859
    2Mallorca B23183264:145057
    3Pena Deportiva22154345:172849
    4Llosetense23116636:28839
    5Constancia22104830:21934
    6Cardassar2396826:35-933
    7Mercadal20102820:18232
    8Inter Ibiza22931026:29-330
    9Binissalem2378816:22-629
    10Alcudia23921224:38-1429
    11Platges de Calvia22841027:26128
    12Santanyi23841130:43-1328
    13Formentera2269719:19027
    14Son Cladera22641222:33-1122
    15Portmany22631315:31-1621
    16Felanitx23471218:32-1419
    17Rotlet Molinar22351420:39-1914
    18Collerense22181324:45-2111

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation