Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Javier F. 🟥,
- 31', 1 - 0, Gurpegui U. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ardoi
31.3% | Draw
30.5% | Peña Sport
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ardoi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ardoi's performance.Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ardoi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ardoi - Peña Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↓
(3.6) |
3.16 ↓
(3.35) |
2.52 ↑
(1.92) |
3.9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 1.
- Recent performances by Ardoi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Peña Sport is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ardoi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Peña Sport could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ardoi won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ardoi won against Peña Sport?
Ardoi has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Sport won against Ardoi?
Peña Sport has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ardoi - Peña Sport were as follows:
18.01.2025
Ardoi
-
Peña Sport
1:2
25.05.2024
Ardoi
-
Peña Sport
1:1
18.05.2024
Peña Sport
-
Ardoi
0:1
27.01.2024
Ardoi
-
Peña Sport
0:0
09.09.2023
Peña Sport
-
Ardoi
0:0
Latest results of Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pena | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 56:34 | 22 | 67 |
| 2 | Pamplona | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 59:27 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Izarra | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 58:27 | 31 | 54 |
| 4 | Subiza | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | AD San Juan | 30 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | Ezcabarte | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Cortes | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 43 |
| 8 | Txantrea | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45:58 | -13 | 40 |
| 9 | Beti Kozkor | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 39 |
| 10 | Huarte | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Cirbonero | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Valle Egues | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42:49 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Ardoi | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 38:46 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 | Bidezarra | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 27:37 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Aoiz | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Beti Onak | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 29 |
| 17 | CA Artajones | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 28 |
| 18 | Oberena | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28:55 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
