Result
07/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Penafiel
31.4% | Draw
30.6% | Farense
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Penafiel - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.89) |
3.02 ↑
(2.84) |
2.43 ↓
(2.49) |
8%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Farense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Farense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Farense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Farense?
Penafiel has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Penafiel?
Farense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Farense were as follows:
26.10.2025
Farense
-
Penafiel
0:0
22.04.2023
Farense
-
Penafiel
2:1
05.11.2022
Penafiel
-
Farense
0:2
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Farense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
