Farense vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Farense - Penafiel
Result
2:1
22/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 29
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Farense
49.9%
Draw
28.2%
Penafiel
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 27.9% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 26.9% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • The chances for Penafiel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Farense - Penafiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.8)
    3.25
    (3.25)
    4.23
    (4.14)
    8.6%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Farense - Penafiel?
  • Users Predictions: Farense will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Relegation: ) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 2.
    • Farense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Penafiel is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Penafiel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Farense is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Farense won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-13.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Penafiel were as follows:
    05.11.2022 Penafiel - Farense 0:2
    Latest results of Farense
    14.04.2023 Oliveirense - Farense 1:2
    07.04.2023 Farense - Moreirense 3:1
    01.04.2023 Trofense - Farense 2:1
    19.03.2023 Farense - BSAD 4:0
    11.03.2023 Vilafranquense - Farense 1:1
    Latest results of Penafiel
    16.04.2023 Penafiel - Nacional 3:0
    08.04.2023 Feirense - Penafiel 2:1
    03.04.2023 Penafiel - Porto B 1:2
    19.03.2023 Penafiel - Vilafranquense 1:1
    10.03.2023 Moreirense - Penafiel 3:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3