Result
0:0
26/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 8
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Rivaldo 🟨,
- 45+2', Jaiminho 🟨,
- 45+3', Femenias J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jaiminho ↓, Candeias A. ↑,
- 46', Rivaldo ↓, Ruben ↑,
- 46', Pereira B. ↓, lano Imbene ↑,
- 49', D'Agrella L. 🟨,
- 63', Teixeira R. ↓, Semedo Y. ↑,
- 63', Matias M. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
- 64', Alves R. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
- 64', Vieira P. ↓, Negrao G. ↑,
- 72', Geovanny 🟨,
- 76', Sangare B. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
- 76', Gustavo Fernandes 🟨,
- 76', 🟨,
- 83', Santos A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 89', Davo ↓, Pedro Sa ↑,
- 90+1', Suker H. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Farense
58.1% | Draw
24.5% | Penafiel
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Farense - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.66) |
3.81 ↓
(3.84) |
5.31 ↑
(5.01) |
7.1%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Farense - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Penafiel (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Penafiel (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense won 3.
- Farense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Penafiel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Penafiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Farense has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Farense is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Farense will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Farense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Farense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Penafiel?
Farense has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Farense?
Penafiel has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Penafiel were as follows:
22.04.2023
Farense
-
Penafiel
2:1
05.11.2022
Penafiel
-
Farense
0:2
Latest results of Farense
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 33:16 | 17 | 41 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 33:18 | 15 | 35 |
| 4 | Torreense | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 32 |
| 5 | Lusitania FC | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 31:33 | -2 | 31 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 30 |
| 7 | Vizela | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Feirense | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Leiria | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:27 | 0 | 28 |
| 10 | Felgueiras | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Benfica B | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | Chaves | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23:20 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Oliveirense | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 14 | Leixoes | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23:37 | -14 | 25 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 22:29 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 |
| 17 | Penafiel | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18:22 | -4 | 23 |
| 18 | Pacos Ferreira | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
