Result
1:1
07/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Azevedo Duarte F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Alysson 🟨,
- 34', Derick Poloni 🟨,
- 45+2', Alcaina R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Semedo Y. 🟥,
- 56', Alves R. 🟨,
- 61', Alcaina R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
- 61', Alves R. ↓, Davo ↑,
- 63', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 65', Poveda D. ↓, Carter A. ↑,
- 67', Alex Pinto 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 0, Pereira B. ⚽,
- 79', Sanchez J. ↓, Injai M. ↑,
- 82', Alex Pinto ↓, Herrero T. ↑,
- 82', Jaiminho ↓, Menino M. ↑,
- 82', Almeida B. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
- 82', Alysson ↓, Rafael Pontelo ↑,
- 86', Rafael Pontelo 🟨,
- 90', Santos A. ↓, Negrao G. ↑,
- 90', Carbonell A. ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Costa R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Penafiel
31.9% | Draw
30.2% | Farense
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Penafiel - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↑
(2.89) |
3.06 ↑
(2.84) |
2.45 ↓
(2.49) |
7.9%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Farense?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Farense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Farense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 0.
- Penafiel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Farense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Farense?
Penafiel has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Penafiel?
Farense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Farense were as follows:
26.10.2025
Farense
-
Penafiel
0:0
22.04.2023
Farense
-
Penafiel
2:1
05.11.2022
Penafiel
-
Farense
0:2
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Farense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 40:32 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 8 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
