Penapolense vs Araçatuba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:0
28/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, ,
  • 19', 2 - 0, ,
  • 35', 3 - 0, ,
  • 38', 4 - 0, ,
  • 42', 5 - 0, ,
  • 45+1', 6 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Penapolense
86.6%
Draw
9.7%
Araçatuba
3.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 24.9% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 23.9% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penapolense's performance.
  • Araçatuba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Araçatuba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-24.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penapolense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araçatuba than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Araçatuba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Penapolense - Araçatuba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.11
    (1.52)
    9.85
    (3.64)
    26.06
    (5.8)
    4.2%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B).
    • Penapolense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Araçatuba is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Penapolense is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Penapolense
    Latest results of Araçatuba
    25.03.2026 Araçatuba - VOCEM 0:4
    21.03.2026 ECUS - Araçatuba 2:0
    18.03.2026 Araçatuba - Nacional SP 2:3
    14.03.2026 Araçatuba - Comercial SP 0:0
    07.03.2026 Barretos - Araçatuba 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Inter de Bebedouro (1)Lemense (8)2 : 0
    2Sao-Carlense (4)Barretos EC (5)1 : 1
    3Sao Caetano (2)Jacarei FC (7)0 : 0
    4Penapolense (3)Taquaritinga (6)1 : 1