Result
3:2
18/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 63', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 79', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Penapolense
68.6% | Draw
20.5% | Jabaquara
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penapolense's performance.Jabaquara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jabaquara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-23.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penapolense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jabaquara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Penapolense - Jabaquara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.52) |
4.41 ↑
(4.28) |
8.26 ↑
(4.88) |
10.7%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- Penapolense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jabaquara is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Penapolense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Penapolense is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Penapolense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Penapolense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Penapolense won against Jabaquara?
Penapolense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jabaquara won against Penapolense?
Jabaquara has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penapolense - Jabaquara were as follows:
22.02.2025
Jabaquara
-
Penapolense
2:1
24.02.2024
Penapolense
-
Jabaquara
4:1
Latest results of Penapolense
Latest results of Jabaquara
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro ✔ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Sao Caetano ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Penapolense | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Barretos EC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Lemense | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Sao-Carlense | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Jacarei FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Taquaritinga | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Tanabi | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | ECUS SP | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | Comercial | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Jabaquara | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Vocem | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Colorado Caieiras | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional SP | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:20 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | AEA Aracatuba | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6:24 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter de Bebedouro is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Sao Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
