Jabaquara vs Penapolense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Jabaquara - Penapolense
Result
2:1
22/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 9

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 68', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Jabaquara
26.7%
Draw
30.2%
Penapolense
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 33.1% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 31.1% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jabaquara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jabaquara's form might have worsened.
  • Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penapolense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penapolense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jabaquara - Penapolense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (2.85)
    3.04
    (2.75)
    2.13
    (2.6)
    8.9%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: ) and 12).
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • Penapolense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Jabaquara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jabaquara - Penapolense were as follows:
    24.02.2024 Penapolense - Jabaquara 4:1
    Latest results of Jabaquara
    18.02.2025 Joseense - Jabaquara 1:0
    15.02.2025 Nacional SP - Jabaquara 1:0
    12.02.2025 Jabaquara - Paulista 0:1
    Latest results of Penapolense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Colorado Caieiras (8)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Taquaritinga (2)AEA Aracatuba (7)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    3CA Joseense (4)Paulista (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2
    4Sao Caetano (3)Nacional SP (6)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)AEA Aracatuba (7)4 : 0, 2 : 3
    2Paulista (5)Nacional SP (6)3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Paulista (5)1 : 0, 1 : 0