Result
16/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 14
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Breno Goncalves ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Penapolense
30.6% | Draw
28.5% | São Caetano
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Caetano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penapolense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Caetano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Penapolense - São Caetano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↓
(3.5) |
3.21 ↓
(3.4) |
2.24 ↑
(2) |
9.1%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- São Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Recent matches Penapolense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- São Caetano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Penapolense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- São Caetano will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Penapolense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
- Including matches at home between the teams Penapolense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has Penapolense won against São Caetano?
Penapolense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Caetano won against Penapolense?
São Caetano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penapolense - São Caetano were as follows:
Latest results of Penapolense
Latest results of São Caetano
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Uniao Barbarense (1) | Colorado Caieiras (8) | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Taquaritinga (2) | AEA Aracatuba (7) | 0 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | CA Joseense (4) | Paulista (5) | 0 : 2, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano (3) | Nacional SP (6) | 1 : 1, 0 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Uniao Barbarense (1) | AEA Aracatuba (7) | 4 : 0, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Paulista (5) | Nacional SP (6) | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Uniao Barbarense (1) | Paulista (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
