Result
71:79
14/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Mar del Plata
78.4% | San Lorenzo de Almagro
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peñarol de Mar del Plata's performance.San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo de Almagro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peñarol de Mar del Plata that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo de Almagro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.19 ↓
(1.3) |
|
4.27 ↑
(2.96) |
7.3%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 161.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - Peñarol (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:76.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.
- Recent performances by Peñarol have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- San Lorenzo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Peñarol is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1550:1682. (average 77.5:84.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 770:851. (average 77:85.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Mar del Plata won against San Lorenzo de Almagro?
Peñarol de Mar del Plata has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo de Almagro won against Peñarol de Mar del Plata?
San Lorenzo de Almagro has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro were as follows:
26.09.2025
San Lorenzo de Almagro
-
Peñarol de Mar del Plata
82:74
05.04.2025
San Lorenzo de Almagro
-
Peñarol de Mar del Plata
76:63
09.01.2025
Peñarol de Mar del Plata
-
San Lorenzo de Almagro
80:77
22.04.2024
Peñarol de Mar del Plata
-
San Lorenzo de Almagro
80:75
15.11.2023
San Lorenzo de Almagro
-
Peñarol de Mar del Plata
88:65
Latest results of Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Latest results of San Lorenzo de Almagro
Argentinian LNB Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Independiente de Oliva | 27 | 18 | 9 | 2328:2169 | 0.667 |
| 2 | Quimsa | 29 | 19 | 10 | 2388:2195 | 0.655 |
| 3 | Obera TC | 28 | 18 | 10 | 2258:2132 | 0.643 |
| 4 | Gimnasia | 29 | 18 | 11 | 2351:2199 | 0.621 |
| 5 | Ferro | 29 | 18 | 11 | 2452:2410 | 0.621 |
| 6 | La Union | 30 | 18 | 12 | 2427:2367 | 0.600 |
| 7 | Obras Sanitarias | 26 | 15 | 11 | 2114:2055 | 0.577 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors | 28 | 16 | 12 | 2280:2171 | 0.571 |
| 9 | Instituto de Cordoba | 29 | 16 | 13 | 2221:2177 | 0.552 |
| 10 | Regatas | 29 | 16 | 13 | 2242:2206 | 0.552 |
| 11 | Penarol | 29 | 15 | 14 | 2319:2327 | 0.517 |
| 12 | San Martin | 29 | 13 | 16 | 2171:2195 | 0.448 |
| 13 | Union De Santa Fe | 27 | 11 | 16 | 2205:2279 | 0.407 |
| 14 | Platense | 28 | 11 | 17 | 2287:2370 | 0.393 |
| 15 | Olimpico | 29 | 11 | 18 | 2272:2297 | 0.379 |
| 16 | San Lorenzo | 29 | 11 | 18 | 2289:2392 | 0.379 |
| 17 | Atenas | 26 | 9 | 17 | 1961:2090 | 0.346 |
| 18 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 30 | 10 | 20 | 2349:2466 | 0.333 |
| 19 | Argentino | 27 | 6 | 21 | 1993:2410 | 0.222 |
Promotion ~ Liga A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga A (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liga A (Play Out: )
