Result
0:1
07/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 42 | 24 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 121 | 96 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 41 | 35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Rodriguez G. ⚽, Fernandez L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 57', Sosa D. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 57', Ramirez G. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 66', Sulbaran M. ↓, Moreno E. ↑,
- 66', Pernia E. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
- 71', Moreno E. 🟨,
- 72', Rodriguez B. ↓, Quijada R. ↑,
- 77', Fernandez L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 77', Milans P. ↓, Castillo Segura B. D. ↑,
- 81', Rivas R. ↓, Figueroa R. ↑,
- 82', Casiani L. ↓, Rivas A. ↑,
- 88', Mendez J. ↓, Leo Coelho ↑,
- 90+4', Tamayo B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caracas
16.1% | Draw
24.6% | Peñarol de Montevideo
59.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caracas's form might have worsened.Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peñarol de Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caracas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caracas - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.81 ↑
(3.9) |
3.79 ↑
(3.4) |
1.59 ↓
(1.92) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Caracas - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Caracas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Peñarol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Peñarol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Peñarol is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Caracas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Caracas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Caracas?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
10.04.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Caracas
5:0
Latest results of Caracas
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
