Result
0:1
05/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Spain | Gol Play |
 Uruguay | VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Avenatti F. ↓, Machado A. ↑,
- 27', Novick H. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Villalba H. ⚽,
- 36', De Amores G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Villalba H. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 46', Sosa L. ↓, Perg M. ↑,
- 46', Novick H. ↓, Pintos I. ↑,
- 60', Femia E. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
- 62', Sosa I. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 63', Herrera N. 🟨,
- 71', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Leo Coelho ↑,
- 72', Fernandez J. ↓, Sanseviero L. ↑,
- 72', Gonzalez F. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
- 90', Herrera N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Danubio
27.7% | Draw
29.7% | Peñarol de Montevideo
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peñarol de Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↓
(3.79) |
3.12 ↓
(3.49) |
2.17 ↑
(1.9) |
7.7%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Danubio won 2.
- Recent matches Danubio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Peñarol is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Danubio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Peñarol will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Danubio won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 14:29 (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Danubio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:16 (average 0.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Danubio has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Danubio?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
16.10.2024
Danubio
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:1
14.04.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Danubio
2:0
19.11.2023
Danubio
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
08.07.2023
Danubio
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:0
15.04.2023
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Danubio
2:0
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Penarol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Defensor Sp | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 9 |
| 4 | Boston River | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Liverpool M | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Juventud | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Miramar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Danubio | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Progreso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | River Plate | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
