Peñarol de Montevideo vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio
Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
125
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Herrera N. 🟨,
  • 36', Pais N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', Peralta M. , Romero S. ,
  • 57', Fernandez S. , Sanseviero L. ,
  • 58', Nunez S. 🟨,
  • 61', Umpierrez L. , Baez J. ,
  • 61', Silvera M. , Arezo M. ,
  • 65', Romero S. 🟨,
  • 69', Pintos I. , Velazquez E. ,
  • 69', Nunez S. , Lopez M. ,
  • 78', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Villalba H. ,
  • 79', Jesus Trindade , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Arezo M. ,
  • 85', 2 - 0, Villalba H. ,
  • 85', Perg M. , Brandao ,
  • 87', Lucas Hernandez 🟨,

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
62%
Draw
23.5%
Danubio
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 21.7% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 20.9% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.53)
    3.87
    (4.33)
    6.63
    (5.5)
    6.3%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 3.
    • Peñarol is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Danubio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peñarol is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:13. (average 1.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1
    16.10.2024 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1
    14.04.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio 2:0
    19.11.2023 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    08.07.2023 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:0
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1392226:111529
    2Liverpool M1374219:13625
    3Nacional1283124:101424
    4Montevideo City1373323:15824
    5CA Cerro1371513:13022
    6Defensor Sp1371511:13-222
    7Boston River1256120:81221
    8Cerro Largo1354415:14119
    9Progreso1352616:17-117
    10Danubio1343614:12215
    11Racing Montevideo1335511:20-914
    12Miramar1233616:19-312
    13Juventud133376:12-612
    14River Plate132477:17-1010
    15Plaza Colonia132299:22-138
    16Wanderers121295:19-145

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )