Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Herrera N. 🟨,
- 36', Pais N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', Peralta M. ↓, Romero S. ↑,
- 57', Fernandez S. ↓, Sanseviero L. ↑,
- 58', Nunez S. 🟨,
- 61', Umpierrez L. ↓, Baez J. ↑,
- 61', Silvera M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 65', Romero S. 🟨,
- 69', Pintos I. ↓, Velazquez E. ↑,
- 69', Nunez S. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 78', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
- 79', Jesus Trindade ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Arezo M. ⚽,
- 85', 2 - 0, Villalba H. ⚽,
- 85', Perg M. ↓, Brandao ↑,
- 87', Lucas Hernandez 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
62% | Draw
23.5% | Danubio
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+2%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53
(1.53) |
3.87 ↓
(4.33) |
6.63 ↑
(5.5) |
6.3%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 3.
- Peñarol is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Danubio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:13. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Danubio?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Danubio has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio were as follows:
05.04.2025
Danubio
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:1
16.10.2024
Danubio
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:1
14.04.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Danubio
2:0
19.11.2023
Danubio
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
08.07.2023
Danubio
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:0
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Danubio
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Nacional | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Boston River | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Danubio | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | CA Cerro | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Miramar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Juventud | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Plaza Colonia | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 15 | Wanderers | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2:12 | -10 | 4 |
| 16 | River Plate | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
