Peñarol de Montevideo vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
125
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Herrera N. 🟨,
  • 36', Pais N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', Peralta M. , Romero S. ,
  • 57', Fernandez S. , Sanseviero L. ,
  • 58', Nunez S. 🟨,
  • 61', Umpierrez L. , Baez J. ,
  • 61', Silvera M. , Arezo M. ,
  • 65', Romero S. 🟨,
  • 69', Pintos I. , Velazquez E. ,
  • 69', Nunez S. , Lopez M. ,
  • 78', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Villalba H. ,
  • 79', Jesus Trindade , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Arezo M. ,
  • 85', 2 - 0, Villalba H. ,
  • 85', Perg M. , Brandao ,
  • 87', Lucas Hernandez 🟨,

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
62%
Draw
23.5%
Danubio
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 21.7% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 20.9% 16.5%

Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.53
(1.53)
3.87
(4.33)
6.63
(5.5)
6.3%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 3.
    • Peñarol is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Danubio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peñarol is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:13. (average 1.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1
    16.10.2024 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1
    14.04.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio 2:0
    19.11.2023 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    08.07.2023 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:0
    Latest results of Danubio
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Liverpool M.Penarol1 : 2
    2ByeNacional

    Final
    1PenarolNacional0 : 1, 2 : 2