Danubio vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
0:1
05/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
spainSpainGol Play
uruguayUruguayVTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
512
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Total shots
512
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Avenatti F. , Machado A. ,
  • 27', Novick H. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Villalba H. ,
  • 36', De Amores G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villalba H. , Fernandez L. ,
  • 46', Sosa L. , Perg M. ,
  • 46', Novick H. , Pintos I. ,
  • 60', Femia E. , Nunez S. ,
  • 62', Sosa I. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 63', Herrera N. 🟨,
  • 71', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Leo Coelho ,
  • 72', Fernandez J. , Sanseviero L. ,
  • 72', Gonzalez F. , Arguello M. ,
  • 90', Herrera N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Danubio
27.7%
Draw
29.7%
Peñarol de Montevideo
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 26.6% 48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 26.1% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peñarol de Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.79)
    3.12
    (3.49)
    2.17
    (1.9)
    7.7%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Danubio won 2.
    • Recent matches Danubio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Peñarol is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Danubio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Peñarol will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Danubio won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 14:29 (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Danubio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:16 (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    16.10.2024 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1
    14.04.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio 2:0
    19.11.2023 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    08.07.2023 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:0
    15.04.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio 2:0
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boston River11004:043
    2Nacional11005:233
    3Miramar11003:123
    4Cerro Largo11002:023
    5Penarol11002:113
    6Racing Montevideo11001:013
    7CA Cerro10100:001
    8Liverpool M10100:001
    9Danubio10100:001
    10River Plate10100:001
    11Progreso10011:2-10
    12Wanderers10010:1-10
    13Plaza Colonia10011:3-20
    14Juventud10010:2-20
    15Montevideo City10012:5-30
    16Defensor Sp10010:4-40

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