Result
1:3
15/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', Herrera N. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Olivera M. ⚽,
- 33', Jourdan E. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 2, Silvera M. ⚽,
- 44', Remedi E. 🟨,
- 45+1', De Los Santos J. 🟨,
- 45+4', Alfonso M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Remedi E. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
- 46', Herrera N. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 58', Vera A. 🟨,
- 64', Perez R. 🟨,
- 68', Lopez I. ↓, Barone F. ↑,
- 68', Almeida C. 🟨,
- 72', David Terans ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
- 72', Silvera M. ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
- 72', De Los Santos J. ↓, Correa T. ↑,
- 78', Olivera M. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Barone F. ⚽,
- 86', Vera A. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
- 86', Cabrera F. ↓, Camejo L. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Cabrera J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
River Plate Montevideo
14% | Draw
22.4% | Peñarol de Montevideo
63.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.65 ↓
(7.5) |
4.13 ↓
(4.33) |
1.45 ↑
(1.42) |
8.1%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0.
- River Plate has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Peñarol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Peñarol is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:31. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate Montevideo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
River Plate Montevideo has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against River Plate Montevideo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
23.02.2025
River Plate Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:1
03.11.2024
River Plate Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:1
14.07.2024
River Plate Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:3
29.04.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
River Plate Montevideo
3:0
22.10.2023
River Plate Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:3
Latest results of River Plate Montevideo
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boston River | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Cerro Largo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Penarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Liverpool M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Danubio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Miramar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Plaza Colonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Progreso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Montevideo City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Defensor Sp | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
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