Result
34:18
06/06/2025 at 19:59 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby Americas - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (12 - 0)
- 12', Bianchi L. (Try),
- 35', (Penalty Try),
- 35', Garafulic N. 🟨,
- 38', Cardoso Pinto M. 🟨,
- 40', Bianchi L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (22 - 18)
- 42', Salas T. (Penalty Goal),
- 51', Salas T. (Penalty Goal),
- 53', Cardoso Pinto M. (Try),
- 56', Myszka J. (Try),
- 57', Etcheverry F. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Martinez R. (Try),
- 62', Etcheverry F. (Penalty Goal),
- 62', (Conversion Goal),
- 62', (Conversion Goal),
- 68', (Penalty Goal),
- 72', (Try),
- 73', (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Peñarol
58% | Draw
4.2% | Selknam
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Selknam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selknam than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Peñarol - Selknam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.57) |
22 ↑
(21) |
2.43 ↓
(2.5) |
8.7%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Peñarol could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 75:45. (average 25:15).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 53:28. (average 26.5:14).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol won against Selknam?
Peñarol has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Selknam won against Peñarol?
Selknam has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol - Selknam were as follows:
26.04.2025
Selknam
-
Peñarol
17:22
07.03.2025
Peñarol
-
Selknam
22:18
26.05.2023
Peñarol
-
Selknam
31:10
Latest results of Peñarol
Latest results of Selknam
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Pampas XV (1) | Dogos XV (4) | 21 : 27 |
| 2 | Penarol (2) | Selknam (3) | 34 : 18 |
Final| 1 | Dogos XV (4) | Penarol (2) | 34 : 35 |
