Result
4:1
25/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 7
- Referee: Demirkiran B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 2.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (339/415) | 75% (232/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 2.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (339/415) | 75% (232/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 44% (28/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (46/89) | 58% (68/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -1.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Clarke-Harris J. (Pen),
- 31', 1 - 1, Kakuta G. (Pen),
- 42', Wilks M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Erkin C. 🟨,
- 45+3', Akman H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 52', Dursun S. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 1, Fidan Y. ⚽, Wilks M. (A),
- 59', 3 - 1, Maldar H. ⚽, Ozdemir M. (A),
- 60', Maldar H. ↓, Rogerio Thuram ↑,
- 64', Demir M. ↓, Erdogan E. ↑,
- 66', Dogan F. 🟨,
- 71', Erdogan E. 🟨,
- 71', Cihan M. ↓, Altiparmak B. ↑,
- 71', Demir E. ↓, Ben Yedder W. ↑,
- 72', Akman H. ↓, Yesil H. ↑,
- 73', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Bitin G. ↑,
- 76', Erkin C. 🟥,
- 83', Yavuz S. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
- 83', Ozdemir M. 🟨,
- 87', Wilks M. ↓, Karademir A. ↑,
- 87', Denic D. ↓, Ugur A. ↑,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Karademir A. ⚽, Fidan Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Pendikspor 48.6% | Draw 25.9% | Sakaryaspor 25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↑ (1.76) |
3.59 ↓ (3.8) |
3.63 ↓ (4.01) |
7.5% (8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Pendikspor will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pendikspor: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pendikspor (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pendikspor won 2.
- Pendikspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sakaryaspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pendikspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Pendikspor has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Pendikspor is the team to beat.
- There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Zwolinski L.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pendikspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pendikspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pendikspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Pendikspor has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Pendikspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
13.04.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Pendikspor
1:0
08.12.2024
Pendikspor
-
Sakaryaspor
3:0
07.05.2023
Sakaryaspor
-
Pendikspor
3:2
12.12.2022
Pendikspor
-
Sakaryaspor
3:1
Latest results of Pendikspor
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Pendikspor | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Vanspor FK | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Sakaryaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 18 | Sariyer | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:40 | -36 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation