Result
0:2
19/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 26
- Referee: Gultekin O. F. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (281/366) | 81% (352/436) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (281/366) | 81% (352/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (31/67) | 53% (34/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (81/121) | 68% (75/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Bekaroglu B. 🟨,
- 21', Sequeira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Fofana M. ↓, Soro I. ↑,
- 49', Ozdemir M. 🟨,
- 58', Yildirim P. ↓, Bostan M. ↑,
- 58', Owusu ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
- 66', Pena S. 🟨,
- 73', Sequeira ↓, Karademir A. ↑,
- 74', Pena S. ↓, Cihan M. ↑,
- 80', Clarke-Harris J. 🟨,
- 80', Ruan Teixeira ↓, Karatas H. ↑,
- 84', Terzi E. 🟨,
- 84', Kutlu H. 🟨,
- 85', Vukovic J. 🟨,
- 86', 0 - 1, Clarke-Harris J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', Kitsiou S. ↓, Ugur A. ↑,
- 89', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Sulungoz B. ↑,
- 90+7', 0 - 2, Wilks M. ⚽, Karadeniz B. (A),
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
30.4% | Draw
28.1% | Pendikspor
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakaryaspor's performance.Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pendikspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-1%)The ML Model estimate for Pendikspor aligns with the current prediction.
Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↓
(3.72) |
3.3 ↓
(3.53) |
2.23 ↑
(1.86) |
7.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Pendikspor will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pendikspor: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pendikspor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Sakaryaspor (1.59) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Pendikspor (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 2.
- Sakaryaspor is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pendikspor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pendikspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Zwolinski L.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Pendikspor: Akbaba B.
(Inactive)
Cicek E.
(Suspended)
Dogan F.
(Yellow Cards)
Isen B.
(Suspended)
Rogerio Thuram
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Pendikspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pendikspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Pendikspor has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor were as follows:
25.09.2025
Pendikspor
-
Sakaryaspor
4:1
13.04.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Pendikspor
1:0
08.12.2024
Pendikspor
-
Sakaryaspor
3:0
07.05.2023
Sakaryaspor
-
Pendikspor
3:2
12.12.2022
Pendikspor
-
Sakaryaspor
3:1
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of Pendikspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
