Serik Belediyespor vs Pendikspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
10/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.752.55
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
78
Big chances
05
Corner kicks
32
Passes
84% (364/432)80% (278/347)
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.752.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.522.48
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
811
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
21
Big chances
05
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2722
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1216
Passes
84% (364/432)80% (278/347)
Long passes
63% (32/51)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
72% (120/166)70% (58/83)
Crosses
16% (3/19)73% (8/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.761.42
Throw ins
1518
Fouls
1612
Tackles
100% (10/10)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
1233
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
2.480.52
Goals prevented
-1.52-2.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Akman H. , Sequeira (A),
  • 21', 0 - 2, Rogerio Thuram , Clarke-Harris J. (A),
  • 29', Rogerio Thuram 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 3, Soldo V. , Denic D. (A),
  • 42', Akman H. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Demirozu M. , Cavlan C. ,
  • 46', Skvortsov L. , Nwachukwu C. ,
  • 46', Ozcan S. , Ceylan B. ,
  • 50', Clarke-Harris J. 🟨,
  • 69', Clarke-Harris J. , Karademir A. ,
  • 74', 1 - 3, Topalli J. , Nalepa M. (A),
  • 80', 2 - 3, Montes A. , Dilli S. (A),
  • 84', Kitsiou S. , Gokce E. ,
  • 84', Karadeniz B. , Fidan Y. ,
  • 88', 3 - 3, Ceylan B. , Nwachukwu C. (A),
  • 89', Ceylan B. 🟨,
  • 89', Dilli S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Asan B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 3 - 4, Rogerio Thuram , Denic D. (A),
  • 90+7', Cavlan C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Serik Belediyespor
17.7%
Draw
23.5%
Pendikspor
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.6% 20.5% 66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12% 19.6% 70.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serik Belediyespor's performance.
  • Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pendikspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serik Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pendikspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Serik Belediyespor - Pendikspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.2
    (7.32)
    3.99
    (4.5)
    1.57
    (1.38)
    8%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Serik Belediyespor - Pendikspor?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Pendikspor will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Serik Belediyespor (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Serik Belediyespor (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Serik Belediyespor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pendikspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Serik Belediyespor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pendikspor is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Demir I. (Tendon Injury) Guibero R. (Inactive) Okoro J. (Inactive) Spasov G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pendikspor: Akbaba B. (Inactive) Cicek E. (Suspended) Isen B. (Suspended)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.5:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Serik Belediyespor - Pendikspor were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Pendikspor - Serik Belediyespor 4:0
    Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
    Latest results of Pendikspor
    06.03.2026 Pendikspor - Vanspor 1:1
    19.02.2026 Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor 0:2
    15.02.2026 Pendikspor - Sarıyer 2:0
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to