Result
13/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Penedense
11.6% | Draw
21.9% | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
66.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.79 ↑
(6.25) |
4.13 ↑
(3.6) |
1.36 ↓
(1.51) |
10.6%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Penedense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Penedense (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
- Recent form of Penedense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- ASA has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- ASA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, ASA is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Penedense won against Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense?
Penedense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense won against Penedense?
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense were as follows:
03.05.2025
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
-
Penedense
1:0
05.04.2025
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
0:0
22.01.2025
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
0:0
19.01.2025
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
-
Penedense
1:1
18.02.2024
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
1:2
Latest results of Penedense
Latest results of Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manauara | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:7 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Independencia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 | Manaus | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Aguia De Maraba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Trem | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | GAS | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | Humaita | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11:41 | -30 | 4 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Cruz ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Central SC ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | America RN | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:8 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Ferroviario | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 13 |
| 6 | Treze PB | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6:15 | -9 | 13 |
| 7 | Sousa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Horizonte | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA ✔ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | Lagarto | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Sergipe | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Juazeirense | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 18 |
| 5 | Jequie | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Barcelona | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 8 | SC Penedense | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aparecidense ✔ | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 30:11 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Ceilandia ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Luverdense | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 21 |
| 4 | Mixto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Capital | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Goiania | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 7 | Goianesia | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 7 |
| 8 | Porto Velho | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9:24 | -15 | 7 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Limeira ✔ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Goiatuba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Cascavel | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 17 |
| 4 | Uberlandia | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Cianorte | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Monte Azul | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
| 7 | Operario MS | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 11 |
| 8 | Itabirito | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 10 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barra FC ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Joinville | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | EC Sao Jose | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sao Luiz | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 12 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Azuriz | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | Brasil de Pelotas | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
