Result
0:1
13/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Thiago Papel ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Penedense
14.2% | Draw
23.5% | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
62.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)The ML Model estimate for Penedense aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-1%)
Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.38 ↑
(6.25) |
3.85 ↑
(3.6) |
1.45 ↓
(1.51) |
10.6%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Penedense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Penedense (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
- Recent form of Penedense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- ASA has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- ASA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, ASA is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Penedense won against Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense?
Penedense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense won against Penedense?
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense were as follows:
03.05.2025
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
-
Penedense
1:0
05.04.2025
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
0:0
22.01.2025
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
0:0
19.01.2025
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
-
Penedense
1:1
18.02.2024
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
1:2
Latest results of Penedense
Latest results of Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 10 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | America RN | Imperatriz | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | ASA | Manauara | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Mixto | Cianorte | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 1 |
