Penedense vs Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
02/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Alagoas - Round 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+10', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Penedense
24.5%
Draw
32.2%
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.4% 24.2% 62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1% 23.6% 63.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penedense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penedense's performance.
  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penedense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+20.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.83
    (6.82)
    2.92
    (3.76)
    2.17
    (1.46)
    6.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penedense won 0.
    • Penedense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • ASA is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • ASA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, ASA is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense were as follows:
    07.02.2026 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Penedense 2:0
    13.07.2025 Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 0:1
    03.05.2025 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Penedense 1:0
    05.04.2025 Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 0:0
    22.01.2025 Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 0:0
    Latest results of Penedense
    25.02.2026 Londrina - Penedense 1:0
    21.02.2026 Miguelense - Penedense 0:1
    04.02.2026 Penedense - Murici 0:1
    01.02.2026 Penedense - Murici 0:0
    Brazilian Copa Alagoas Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coruripe22004:136
    2CRB21101:014
    3CSA21014:223
    4Cruzeiro Arapiraca20110:3-31
    5Dimensao Capela20020:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSE33007:259
    2ASA33004:139
    3Murici32017:166
    4SC Penedense41031:3-23
    5Zumbi20022:6-40
    6Miguelense30031:9-80

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