Result
0:1
02/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Penedense 24.5% | Draw 32.2% | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penedense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penedense's performance.Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penedense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+20.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.83 ↓ (6.82) |
2.92 ↓ (3.76) |
2.17 ↑ (1.46) |
6.5% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penedense won 0.
- Penedense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- ASA is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- ASA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, ASA is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Penedense won against Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense?
Penedense has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense won against Penedense?
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense were as follows:
07.02.2026
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
-
Penedense
2:0
13.07.2025
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
0:1
03.05.2025
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
-
Penedense
1:0
05.04.2025
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
0:0
22.01.2025
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
0:0
Latest results of Penedense
Latest results of Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Copa Alagoas Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coruripe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | CRB | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | CSA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro Arapiraca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 5 | Dimensao Capela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSE | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | ASA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Murici | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | SC Penedense | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Zumbi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 6 | Miguelense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Alagoas (Play Offs: Semi~finals)