Barcelona de Ilhéus vs Penedense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
55
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
94
Corner Kicks
55
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+6', 🟥,
  • 90+8', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Barcelona de Ilhéus
47.3%
Draw
30.4%
Penedense
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 29.9% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 29.5% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Barcelona de Ilhéus - Penedense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.07)
    3
    (3.02)
    4.09
    (3.43)
    9.7%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 7 and 8).
    • Recent performances by Barcelona have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Penedense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barcelona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona de Ilhéus - Penedense were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Penedense - Barcelona de Ilhéus 0:0
    Latest results of Penedense
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM11001:013
    2Manaus11001:013
    3Sao Raimundo RR10100:001
    4Manauara10100:001
    5GAS10010:1-10
    6Monte Roraima10010:1-10


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto Velho11005:143
    2Araguaina11002:113
    3Guapore11001:013
    4Galvez10011:2-10
    5Independencia10010:1-10
    6Humaita10011:5-40


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama11002:023
    2Luverdense11002:113
    3Brasiliense10101:101
    4Primavera AC10101:101
    5Inhumas10011:2-10
    6Aparecidense10010:2-20


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Capital11001:013
    2Operario VG10102:201
    3Goiatuba10102:201
    4Ceilandia10100:001
    5Mixto10100:001
    6Uniao Rondonopolis10010:1-10


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguia De Maraba10101:101
    2Trem10101:101
    3Imperatriz10100:001
    4Tuna Luso10100:001
    5Tocantinopolis00000:000
    6Oratorio00000:000


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1IAPE10102:201
    2Maracana10102:201
    3Parnahyba10101:101
    4Iguatu10100:001
    5Moto Club10101:101
    6Sampaio Correa10100:001


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piaui11002:113
    2Ferroviario10101:101
    3Fluminense-PI10101:101
    4AE Altos10100:001
    5Atletico-CE10100:001
    6Tirol10011:2-10


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maguary11003:033
    2America RN11002:023
    3Central SC10101:101
    4Laguna RN10101:101
    5Sousa10010:2-20
    6ABC10010:3-30


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Treze PB11003:033
    2Sergipe10101:101
    3Lagarto10101:101
    4Decisao10101:101
    5Serra Branca10101:101
    6Retro10010:3-30


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSA11003:033
    2Juazeirense11003:123
    3ASA10100:001
    4Jacuipense10100:001
    5CSE10011:3-20
    6Alagoinhas10010:3-30


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ivinhema11001:013
    2Uberlandia11001:013
    3Operario MS10101:101
    4Betim10101:101
    5CRAC10010:1-10
    6Ouvidorense10010:1-10


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto-BA11003:213
    2Tombense11001:013
    3Democrata GV11001:013
    4Rio Branco ES10012:3-10
    5Vitoria ES10010:1-10
    6Real Noroeste10010:1-10


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Agua Santa11004:043
    2Pouso Alegre11002:023
    3Portuguesa10101:101
    4Portuguesa RJ10101:101
    5Madureira10010:2-20
    6America RJ10010:4-40


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba11004:133
    2Marica11002:113
    3Sampaio Correa FE11001:013
    4Velo Clube10011:2-10
    5Noroeste10010:1-10
    6Nova Iguacu10011:4-30


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cianorte11003:123
    2Joinville11002:023
    3Cascavel11001:013
    4Santa Catarina10010:1-10
    5Guarany de Bage10011:3-20
    6Sao Luiz10010:2-20


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau11003:033
    2Brasil de Pelotas11002:113
    3Marcilio Dias10100:001
    4Sao Joseense10100:001
    5Azuriz10011:2-10
    6EC Sao Jose10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)