Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Penedense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/01/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Alagoas - Round 1

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Thiago Magno ,
  • 45+3', Baranhas 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Clube Sociedade Esportiva
42.9%
Draw
31.5%
Penedense
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 28.3% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 27.3% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Clube Sociedade Esportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Penedense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clube Sociedade Esportiva than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Clube Sociedade Esportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Penedense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.93)
    2.9
    (3.21)
    3.58
    (3.69)
    9.3%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Penedense?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. CSE (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - CSE (1.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - CSE (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. CSE (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSE won 3.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • CSE will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, CSE won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CSE won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Penedense were as follows:
    21.01.2026 Penedense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva 0:2
    30.03.2025 Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Penedense 1:0
    26.03.2025 Penedense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva 1:1
    05.02.2025 Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Penedense 1:0
    16.01.2025 Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Penedense 1:2
    Latest results of Penedense
    Brazilian Copa Alagoas Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coruripe22004:136
    2CRB21101:014
    3CSA21014:223
    4Cruzeiro Arapiraca20110:3-31
    5Dimensao Capela20020:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSE33007:259
    2ASA33004:139
    3Murici32017:166
    4SC Penedense41031:3-23
    5Zumbi20022:6-40
    6Miguelense30031:9-80

          Promotion ~ Copa Alagoas (Play Offs: Semi~finals)