Jequié vs Penedense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Jequié - Penedense
Result
0:0
08/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
86
Total shots
147
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
86
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Jequié
63.1%
Draw
23%
Penedense
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 22.7% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8% 21.6% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jequié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Penedense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jequié, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Jequié - Penedense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.39)
    3.95
    (4.01)
    6.58
    (7.6)
    9.7%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).
    • Jequié is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Penedense has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Penedense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Jequié is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jequié won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jequié - Penedense were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Penedense - Jequié 2:4
    Latest results of Jequié
    01.06.2025 Penedense - Jequié 2:4
    25.05.2025 Jequié - Lagarto 3:1
    11.05.2025 Jequié - Juazeirense 2:3
    Latest results of Penedense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1