Jequié vs Penedense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Jequié - Penedense
Result
0:0
08/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
86
Total shots
147
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
86
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Jequié
63.1%
Draw
23%
Penedense
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 22.7% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8% 21.6% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jequié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Penedense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jequié, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Jequié - Penedense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.39)
    3.95
    (4.01)
    6.58
    (7.6)
    9.7%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).
    • Jequié is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Penedense has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Penedense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Jequié is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jequié won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jequié - Penedense were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Penedense - Jequié 2:4
    Latest results of Jequié
    01.06.2025 Penedense - Jequié 2:4
    25.05.2025 Jequié - Lagarto 3:1
    11.05.2025 Jequié - Juazeirense 2:3
    Latest results of Penedense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2