Result
4:0
06/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Marquinhos Brazion ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 42', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Lagarto
58.1% | Draw
25.3% | Penedense
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagarto's form might have worsened.Penedense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penedense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-14.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lagarto that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Lagarto - Penedense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.3) |
3.58 ↓
(4.6) |
5.47 ↓
(8) |
10.3%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lagarto - Penedense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lagarto will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Penedense will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lagarto: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lagarto will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 8).
- Recent performances by Lagarto have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Penedense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Lagarto is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lagarto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagarto won against Penedense?
Lagarto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penedense won against Lagarto?
Penedense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lagarto - Penedense were as follows:
10.05.2025
Penedense
-
Lagarto
0:1
Latest results of Lagarto
Latest results of Penedense
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 14 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maranhao | ASA | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | America RN | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Cianorte | Barra FC | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | Inter de Limeira | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maranhao | Santa Cruz | |
| 2 | Barra FC | Inter de Limeira | |
Final
