Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
18/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Queensland - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFQTV

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
39
Corner kicks
44
Total shots
611
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
32
Corner kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 52', 1 - 1, ,
  • 63', 1 - 2, ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, ,
  • 69', 1 - 4, ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Peninsula Power
39.1%
Draw
25%
Moreton City Excelsior
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 23.1% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 24.5% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peninsula Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Moreton City Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peninsula Power than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peninsula Power, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Peninsula Power - Moreton City Excelsior Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.16)
    3.67
    (4.01)
    2.56
    (2.74)
    8.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).
    • In recent matches, Peninsula Power has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Moreton City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Peninsula Power may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peninsula Power won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peninsula Power won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peninsula Power - Moreton City Excelsior were as follows:
    17.06.2025 Peninsula Power - Moreton City Excelsior 0:2
    10.05.2025 Moreton City Excelsior - Peninsula Power 3:3
    01.09.2024 Moreton City Excelsior - Peninsula Power 4:3
    10.08.2024 Moreton City Excelsior - Peninsula Power 1:3
    11.05.2024 Peninsula Power - Moreton City Excelsior 0:0
    Latest results of Peninsula Power
    Australian NPL Queensland Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Moreton City Excelsior970228:91921
    2Queensland Lions952223:111217
    3Olympic FC952219:12717
    4Peninsula952219:14517
    5Eastern Suburbs950419:13615
    6Gold Coast Knights842221:111014
    7Brisbane City934220:20013
    8Wynnum Wolves932414:19-511
    9Gold Coast Utd821511:17-67
    10Magic United92166:26-207
    11Brisbane Roar U23920710:24-146
    12Rochedale912611:25-145

          Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League