Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan State Spartans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5 OT
31/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)

Chances of winning


Penn State Nittany Lions
36.3%
Draw
22.5%
Michigan State Spartans
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 22.1% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 24.9% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penn State Nittany Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Michigan State Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penn State Nittany Lions that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michigan State Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.65)
    4.02
    (4.1)
    2.2
    (2.07)
    10.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penn State won 2.
    • Penn State is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Michigan State is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Penn State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Penn State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 37:61. (average 2.6:4.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penn State won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:42. (average 3:5.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans were as follows:
    30.01.2026 Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans 3:6
    08.11.2025 Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions 5:0
    07.11.2025 Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions 2:1
    22.02.2025 Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions 2:3
    21.02.2025 Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions 2:3
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/8-finals
    1Boston College EaglesBentley Falcons3 : 1
    2Providence FriarsDenver Pioneers1 : 5
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks2 : 1
    4Minnesota Golden GophersMassachusetts Minutemen4 : 5
    5Maine Black BearsPenn State Nittany Lions1 : 5
    6Connecticut HuskiesQuinnipiac Bobcats4 : 1
    7Michigan State SpartansCornell Big Red3 : 4
    8Boston University TerriersOhio State Buckeyes8 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Boston College EaglesDenver Pioneers1 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosMassachusetts Minutemen2 : 1
    3Penn State Nittany LionsConnecticut Huskies3 : 2
    4Cornell Big RedBoston University Terriers2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Denver PioneersWestern Michigan Broncos2 : 3
    2Penn State Nittany LionsBoston University Terriers1 : 3

    Final
    1Western Michigan BroncosBoston University Terriers6 : 2