Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Owen D. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Phillips S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 2, Owen D. ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Caersws
46.5% | Draw
24.6% | Penrhyncoch
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caersws's form might have worsened.Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penrhyncoch's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caersws, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penrhyncoch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caersws - Penrhyncoch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.65) |
3.73 ↓
(3.84) |
3.17 ↓
(4.12) |
9.1%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
- Caersws has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Penrhyncoch has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Caersws may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Caersws is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Caersws will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caersws won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.8:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caersws won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Caersws won against Penrhyncoch?
Caersws has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penrhyncoch won against Caersws?
Penrhyncoch has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caersws - Penrhyncoch were as follows:
04.02.2026
Penrhyncoch
-
Caersws
1:3
01.03.2025
Caersws
-
Penrhyncoch
1:2
18.02.2025
Penrhyncoch
-
Caersws
4:1
Latest results of Caersws
Latest results of Penrhyncoch
Welsh Cymru North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llandudno ✔ | 29 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 76:19 | 57 | 80 |
| 2 | Airbus ✔ | 29 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 90:21 | 69 | 72 |
| 3 | Holywell ✔ | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 78:38 | 40 | 60 |
| 4 | Rhyl | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 46:52 | -6 | 46 |
| 5 | Newtown | 29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 48:47 | 1 | 45 |
| 6 | Denbigh | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 52:53 | -1 | 40 |
| 7 | Guilsfield | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 40 |
| 8 | Mold Alexandra | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:44 | -9 | 38 |
| 9 | Brickfield | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 34 |
| 10 | Holyhead | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 33 |
| 11 | Penrhyncoch | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 42:53 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 | Caersws FC | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | Buckley | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 47:69 | -22 | 30 |
| 14 | Flint Mountain | 29 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 38:58 | -20 | 29 |
| 15 | Gresford | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 47:83 | -36 | 28 |
| 16 | Ruthin ✔ | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 34:61 | -27 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Llandudno is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Cymru Premier
Airbus is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Holywell is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Ruthin is Relegated to
