Result
Postponed
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Caersws
52.7% | Draw
23.9% | Penrhyncoch
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caersws, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Caersws - Penrhyncoch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.65) |
3.81 ↓
(3.84) |
3.9 ↓
(4.12) |
9.8%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
- Caersws has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Penrhyncoch has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Caersws may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Caersws is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Caersws will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caersws won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.8:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caersws won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Caersws won against Penrhyncoch?
Caersws has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penrhyncoch won against Caersws?
Penrhyncoch has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caersws - Penrhyncoch were as follows:
04.02.2026
Penrhyncoch
-
Caersws
1:3
01.03.2025
Caersws
-
Penrhyncoch
1:2
18.02.2025
Penrhyncoch
-
Caersws
4:1
Latest results of Caersws
Latest results of Penrhyncoch
Welsh Cymru North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llandudno | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 61:14 | 47 | 62 |
| 2 | Airbus | 23 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 67:17 | 50 | 57 |
| 3 | Holywell | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 63:28 | 35 | 50 |
| 4 | Newtown | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhyl | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 6 | Guilsfield | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Denbigh | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 43:45 | -2 | 30 |
| 8 | Buckley | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 44:56 | -12 | 27 |
| 9 | Caersws FC | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30:37 | -7 | 25 |
| 10 | Gresford | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 39:70 | -31 | 25 |
| 11 | Mold Alexandra | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 23 |
| 12 | Holyhead | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Flint Mountain | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 31:49 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Brickfield | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 22 |
| 15 | Penrhyncoch | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 30:47 | -17 | 17 |
| 16 | Ruthin | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
