Caersws vs Penrhyncoch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru North - Round 23

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Owen D. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Phillips S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 1 - 2, Owen D. ,
  • 90+3', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Caersws
46.5%
Draw
24.6%
Penrhyncoch
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 23.5% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 22.1% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caersws's form might have worsened.
  • Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penrhyncoch's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caersws, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penrhyncoch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Caersws - Penrhyncoch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.65)
    3.73
    (3.84)
    3.17
    (4.12)
    9.1%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
    • Caersws has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Penrhyncoch has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Caersws may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Caersws is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Caersws will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caersws won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.8:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caersws won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caersws - Penrhyncoch were as follows:
    04.02.2026 Penrhyncoch - Caersws 1:3
    01.03.2025 Caersws - Penrhyncoch 1:2
    18.02.2025 Penrhyncoch - Caersws 4:1
    Latest results of Caersws
    28.03.2026 Caersws - Llandudno 0:1
    21.03.2026 Caersws - Rhyl 1:0
    14.03.2026 Holywell Town - Caersws 3:1
    Latest results of Penrhyncoch
    Welsh Cymru North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Llandudno30262277:225580
    2Airbus30243393:227175
    3Holywell30186678:403860
    4Newtown301531251:49248
    5Rhyl301441246:55-946
    6Guilsfield301341350:48243
    7Mold Alexandra301251338:45-741
    8Denbigh301241452:59-740
    9Caersws FC301141546:51-537
    10Brickfield301141539:49-1037
    11Holyhead301061444:49-536
    12Penrhyncoch301051545:53-835
    13Buckley30931850:77-2730
    14Flint Mountain30921939:61-2229
    15Gresford30841847:87-4028
    16Ruthin30651936:64-2823

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