Newtown vs Penrhyncoch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru North - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 73', 1 - 0, Hyne J. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Owen D. ,

Chances of winning


Newtown
64.4%
Draw
19.3%
Penrhyncoch
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 17.2% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 16.3% 12.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newtown's form might have worsened.
  • Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newtown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Newtown - Penrhyncoch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.34)
    4.73
    (5.41)
    5.61
    (6.98)
    9.5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Newtown has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Penrhyncoch has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Penrhyncoch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Newtown is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newtown won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newtown - Penrhyncoch were as follows:
    08.08.2025 Penrhyncoch - Newtown 1:2
    Latest results of Newtown
    29.11.2025 Guilsfield - Newtown 2:1
    15.11.2025 Newtown - Holywell Town 2:2
    08.11.2025 Mold Alexandra - Newtown 1:3
    04.11.2025 Newtown - Llandudno 3:6
    Latest results of Penrhyncoch
    Welsh Cymru North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Llandudno ✔ 29262176:195780
    2Airbus ✔ 29233390:216972
    3Holywell ✔ 29186578:384060
    4Rhyl291441146:52-646
    5Newtown291431248:47145
    6Denbigh291241352:53-140
    7Guilsfield291241346:48-240
    8Mold Alexandra291151335:44-938
    9Brickfield291041537:49-1234
    10Holyhead29961439:48-933
    11Penrhyncoch29951542:53-1132
    12Caersws FC28941537:49-1231
    13Buckley28931647:69-2230
    14Flint Mountain29921838:58-2029
    15Gresford29841747:83-3628
    16Ruthin ✔ 29651834:61-2723

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Llandudno is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Cymru Premier
    Airbus is Qualified for Cymru Premier
    Holywell is Qualified for Cymru Premier
    Ruthin is Relegated to