Brisbane Broncos vs Penrith Panthers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers
Result
16:14
28/09/2025 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9 HD, Fox League, Nine, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Tries
32
Conversion Goals
22
Conversion Goal Attempts
32
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
01
Goals %
67100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
187213
Metres Run With Ball
16251824

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 14)
  • 11', Alamoti P. (Try),
  • 13', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Cleary N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 36', Alamoti P. (Try),
  • 37', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (16 - 0)
  • 47', Staggs K. (Try),
  • 49', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 70', Willison X. (Try),
  • 71', Walsh R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 76', Mariner D. (Try),
  • 77', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Brisbane Broncos
42.1%
Draw
4.5%
Penrith Panthers
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 3.9% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 3.8% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • The chances for Penrith Panthers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.15)
    20
    (23.5)
    1.75
    (1.73)
    7.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Penrith will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 0.
    • Brisbane is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Penrith has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Penrith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Penrith has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 341:424. (average 17.1:21.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 192:176. (average 17.5:16).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos 32:8
    05.07.2024 Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers 6:14
    21.03.2024 Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos 34:12
    01.10.2023 Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos 26:24
    18.05.2023 Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers 4:15
    Latest results of Brisbane Broncos
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)22 : 14
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)16 : 14

    Final
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Brisbane Broncos (4)22 : 26