Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos
Result
32:8
04/05/2025 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Action

Match Stats

Tries
51
Conversion Goals
51
Conversion Goal Attempts
52
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
11
Goals %
10067
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
210172
Metres Run With Ball
17971534

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (20 - 8)
  • 9', Hunt B. (Try),
  • 10', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 14', Tago I. (Try),
  • 15', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Cleary N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 32', Reynolds A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 37', Patea L. (Try),
  • 38', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Cleary N. (Try),
  • 40', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 0)
  • 45', Jenkins T. (Try),
  • 46', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Jenkins T. (Try),
  • 55', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Penrith Panthers
35.4%
Draw
4.3%
Brisbane Broncos
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 4.2% 52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 4.5% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penrith Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penrith Panthers's form might have worsened.
  • Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Broncos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penrith Panthers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Broncos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.18)
    20.61
    (22)
    1.54
    (1.77)
    7.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 4.
    • Recent form of Penrith has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Brisbane has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Brisbane will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 392:333. (average 20.6:17.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penrith won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 216:141. (average 27:17.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos were as follows:
    05.07.2024 Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers 6:14
    21.03.2024 Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos 34:12
    01.10.2023 Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos 26:24
    18.05.2023 Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers 4:15
    03.03.2023 Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos 12:13
    Latest results of Penrith Panthers
    Latest results of Brisbane Broncos
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders22184606:43442
    2Melbourne Storm22175647:38940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs22157500:38636
    4New Zealand Warriors22148469:44334
    5Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    6Penrith Panthers22129532:42131
    7Brisbane Broncos21129566:45230
    8Sydney Roosters221111577:50528
    9Dolphins221012623:54226
    10Manly Sea Eagles221012488:48426
    11Wests Tigers21912411:51824
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons22814454:54822
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57222
    14NQ Cowboys22813474:61821
    15Parramatta Eels22814410:54620
    16Newcastle Knights21615300:48618
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )