Result
18:22 OT
14/08/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Fox League, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 60 | 25 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 209 | 188 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 1897 | 1639 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (12 - 4)
- 11', Papali'i I. (Try),
- 23', Coates X. (Try),
- 32', Cleary N. (Try),
- 34', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Cleary N. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 14)
- 53', Coates X. (Try),
- 55', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Chan J. (Try),
- 61', Sorensen S. (Try),
- 63', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Seve M. (Try),
- Extra Time (0 - 4)
- 82', (Try),
Chances of winning
Penrith Panthers
62.5% | Draw
4.5% | Melbourne Storm
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penrith Panthers's performance.Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Storm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penrith Panthers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Storm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.84) |
20.36 ↓
(21.33) |
2.84 ↑
(2.05) |
7.6%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 38.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm?
Users Predictions:
Penrith Panthers will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:17.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 2.
- Penrith has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Melbourne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Penrith will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 309:381. (average 15.5:19.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penrith won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 141:152. (average 15.7:16.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Penrith Panthers won against Melbourne Storm?
Penrith Panthers has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Storm won against Penrith Panthers?
Melbourne Storm has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
20.03.2025
Melbourne Storm
-
Penrith Panthers
30:24
06.10.2024
Melbourne Storm
-
Penrith Panthers
6:14
15.08.2024
Penrith Panthers
-
Melbourne Storm
22:24
08.03.2024
Melbourne Storm
-
Penrith Panthers
8:0
22.09.2023
Penrith Panthers
-
Melbourne Storm
38:4
Latest results of Penrith Panthers
Latest results of Melbourne Storm
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Canterbury Bulldogs (3) | 26 : 18 |
| 3 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Cronulla Sharks (5) | Sydney Roosters (8) | 20 : 10 |
| 5 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Brisbane Broncos (4) | 28 : 29 |
| 7 | Canterbury Bulldogs | Bye | |
| 8 | New Zealand Warriors (6) | Penrith Panthers (7) | 8 : 24 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Cronulla Sharks (5) | 12 : 32 |
| 3 | Brisbane Broncos (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | Canterbury Bulldogs (3) | Penrith Panthers (7) | 26 : 46 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Cronulla Sharks (5) | |
| 2 | Brisbane Broncos (4) | Penrith Panthers (7) | |
Final
