Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm
Result
18:22 OT
14/08/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix

Match Stats

Tries
35
Conversion Goals
21
Conversion Goal Attempts
44
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
10
Goals %
6025
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
209188
Metres Run With Ball
18971639

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 4)
  • 11', Papali'i I. (Try),
  • 23', Coates X. (Try),
  • 32', Cleary N. (Try),
  • 34', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Cleary N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 14)
  • 53', Coates X. (Try),
  • 55', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 58', Chan J. (Try),
  • 61', Sorensen S. (Try),
  • 63', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 67', Seve M. (Try),
  • Extra Time (0 - 4)
  • 82', (Try),

Chances of winning


Penrith Panthers
62.5%
Draw
4.5%
Melbourne Storm
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 4.3% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 4.4% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penrith Panthers's performance.
  • Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Storm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penrith Panthers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Storm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.84)
    20.36
    (21.33)
    2.84
    (2.05)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 38.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm?
  • Users Predictions: Penrith Panthers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:17.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 2.
    • Penrith has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Melbourne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Penrith will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 309:381. (average 15.5:19.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penrith won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 141:152. (average 15.7:16.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
    20.03.2025 Melbourne Storm - Penrith Panthers 30:24
    06.10.2024 Melbourne Storm - Penrith Panthers 6:14
    15.08.2024 Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm 22:24
    08.03.2024 Melbourne Storm - Penrith Panthers 8:0
    22.09.2023 Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm 38:4
    Latest results of Penrith Panthers
    Latest results of Melbourne Storm
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          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )