Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
18:22 OT
14/08/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix

Match Stats

Tries
35
Conversion Goals
21
Conversion Goal Attempts
44
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
10
Goals %
6025
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
209188
Metres Run With Ball
18971639

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 4)
  • 11', Papali'i I. (Try),
  • 23', Coates X. (Try),
  • 32', Cleary N. (Try),
  • 34', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Cleary N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 14)
  • 53', Coates X. (Try),
  • 55', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 58', Chan J. (Try),
  • 61', Sorensen S. (Try),
  • 63', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 67', Seve M. (Try),
  • Extra Time (0 - 4)
  • 82', (Try),

Chances of winning


Penrith Panthers
62.5%
Draw
4.5%
Melbourne Storm
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 4.3% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 4.4% 46.3%

Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.48
(1.84)
20.36
(21.33)
2.84
(2.05)
7.6%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 38.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm?
  • Users Predictions: Penrith Panthers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:17.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 2.
    • Penrith has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Melbourne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Penrith will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 309:381. (average 15.5:19.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penrith won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 141:152. (average 15.7:16.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
    20.03.2025 Melbourne Storm - Penrith Panthers 30:24
    06.10.2024 Melbourne Storm - Penrith Panthers 6:14
    15.08.2024 Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm 22:24
    08.03.2024 Melbourne Storm - Penrith Panthers 8:0
    22.09.2023 Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm 38:4
    Latest results of Penrith Panthers
    Latest results of Melbourne Storm
    Australian NRL Table
    2026
    PlWLPts
    1Brisbane Broncos0000:00
    2Canterbury Bulldogs0000:00
    3Canberra Raiders0000:00
    4Cronulla Sharks0000:00
    5Gold Coast Titans0000:00
    6Manly Sea Eagles0000:00
    7Melbourne Storm0000:00
    8New Zealand Warriors0000:00
    9Newcastle Knights0000:00
    10NQ Cowboys0000:00
    11Parramatta Eels0000:00
    12Penrith Panthers0000:00
    13St. George Illawarra Dragons0000:00
    14South Sydney Rabbitohs0000:00
    15Sydney Roosters0000:00
    16Wests Tigers0000:00
    17Dolphins0000:00

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )