Result
50:10
03/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 5
- Referee: Klein A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 78 | 50 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 210 | 153 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 1910 | 1126 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (26 - 6)
- 5', Martin L. (Try),
- 7', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Lussick F. (Try),
- 12', Cleary N. (Missed Conversion),
- 15', Waitere M. (Try),
- 16', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Jenkins T. (Try),
- 23', Cleary N. (Missed Conversion),
- 25', Cleary N. (Try),
- 27', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', McLean C. (Try),
- 40', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (24 - 4)
- 43', To'o B. (Try),
- 45', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Garner L. (Try),
- 61', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Faalogo S. (Try),
- 68', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
- 72', Edwards D. (Try),
- 73', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Jenkins T. (Try),
- 77', Alamoti P. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Penrith Panthers
68% | Draw
4.3% | Melbourne Storm
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penrith Panthers's performance.Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Storm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penrith Panthers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Storm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.54) |
20.6 ↓
(21.52) |
3.37 ↑
(2.57) |
8.1%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 44.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 1.
- Penrith is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Melbourne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Penrith is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 327:383. (average 16.4:19.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penrith won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 159:154. (average 17.7:17.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Penrith Panthers won against Melbourne Storm?
Penrith Panthers has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Storm won against Penrith Panthers?
Melbourne Storm has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
14.08.2025
Penrith Panthers
-
Melbourne Storm
18:22
20.03.2025
Melbourne Storm
-
Penrith Panthers
30:24
06.10.2024
Melbourne Storm
-
Penrith Panthers
6:14
15.08.2024
Penrith Panthers
-
Melbourne Storm
22:24
08.03.2024
Melbourne Storm
-
Penrith Panthers
8:0
Latest results of Penrith Panthers
Latest results of Melbourne Storm
Australian NRL Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 6 | 5 | 1 | 206:72 | 10 |
| 2 | Wests Tigers | 5 | 4 | 1 | 156:92 | 10 |
| 3 | New Zealand Warriors | 6 | 4 | 2 | 194:118 | 8 |
| 4 | Manly Sea Eagles | 6 | 3 | 3 | 178:140 | 8 |
| 5 | Newcastle Knights | 6 | 4 | 2 | 154:142 | 8 |
| 6 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 5 | 3 | 2 | 144:132 | 8 |
| 7 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 5 | 3 | 2 | 101:96 | 8 |
| 8 | NQ Cowboys | 7 | 4 | 3 | 165:181 | 8 |
| 9 | Sydney Roosters | 5 | 3 | 2 | 115:138 | 8 |
| 10 | Cronulla Sharks | 6 | 3 | 3 | 158:152 | 6 |
| 11 | Brisbane Broncos | 6 | 3 | 3 | 133:139 | 6 |
| 12 | Dolphins | 5 | 2 | 3 | 116:142 | 6 |
| 13 | Melbourne Storm | 6 | 2 | 4 | 160:158 | 4 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Titans | 6 | 2 | 4 | 126:148 | 4 |
| 15 | Canberra Raiders | 6 | 2 | 4 | 115:182 | 4 |
| 16 | Parramatta Eels | 6 | 2 | 4 | 124:226 | 4 |
| 17 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 6 | 0 | 6 | 86:173 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )
