Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera Divisió - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | DAZN App |
 Mexico | DAZN App |
 Paraguay | DAZN App |
 Peru | DAZN App |
 Uruguay | DAZN App |
 Venezuela | DAZN App |
 World | FIFA+ |
Chances of winning
Penya Encarnada
55.2% | Draw
24.9% | Esperança
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penya Encarnada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Esperança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Encarnada than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penya Encarnada that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esperança than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Penya Encarnada - Esperança Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.67) |
3.61
(3.61) |
4.53 ↓
(4.62) |
10.9%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 9 in the zone Primera Divisiu00f3 (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penya won 5.
- A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.
- Penya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Penya has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Penya is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Penya won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 2.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penya won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Penya Encarnada won against Esperança?
Penya Encarnada has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Esperança won against Penya Encarnada?
Esperança has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penya Encarnada - Esperança were as follows:
09.11.2025
Esperança
-
Penya Encarnada
0:1
27.04.2025
Penya Encarnada
-
Esperança
4:1
16.02.2025
Esperança
-
Penya Encarnada
1:2
29.09.2024
Penya Encarnada
-
Esperança
4:1
05.05.2024
Penya Encarnada
-
Esperança
3:2
Latest results of Penya Encarnada
Latest results of Esperança
Andorra Primera Divisio Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Escaldes | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 44 |
| 2 | UE Santa Coloma | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:12 | 27 | 43 |
| 3 | FC Santa Coloma | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 41:17 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | FC Rangers | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 34:14 | 20 | 36 |
| 5 | Atletic Escaldes | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 24:20 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Penya | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 16:35 | -19 | 18 |
| 7 | Ordino | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 15 |
| 8 | Carroi | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 12:44 | -32 | 14 |
| 9 | Esperanca | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13:37 | -24 | 10 |
| 10 | Pas de la Casa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Primera Divisiu00f3 (Relegation)
Relegation
