Ordino vs Penya Encarnada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
07/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Divisió - Round 11

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, ,
  • 20', 🟨,
  • 22', 🟨,
  • 28', 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 2, ,
  • 31', 🟨,
  • 37', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', 0 - 3, ,
  • 48', 🟨,
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 4, ,
  • 60', 1 - 4, ,
  • 64', 2 - 4, ,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟥,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ordino
45.6%
Draw
28.6%
Penya Encarnada
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 29.4% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 28.7% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ordino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordino's performance.
  • Penya Encarnada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penya Encarnada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordino than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ordino that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Encarnada than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penya Encarnada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ordino - Penya Encarnada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.49)
    3.17
    (3.08)
    3.51
    (2.64)
    10.5%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordino won 1.
    • Recent performances by Ordino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Penya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Penya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Penya has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ordino won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ordino won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ordino - Penya Encarnada were as follows:
    06.11.2025 Penya Encarnada - Ordino 3:4
    11.05.2025 Penya Encarnada - Ordino 1:1
    19.01.2025 Ordino - Penya Encarnada 0:1
    20.10.2024 Penya Encarnada - Ordino 0:0
    03.03.2024 Penya Encarnada - Ordino 2:1
    Latest results of Ordino
    30.11.2025 Atlètic Escaldes - Ordino 1:0
    27.11.2025 Ordino - Atlètic Escaldes 0:0
    23.11.2025 FC Santa Coloma - Ordino 3:1
    09.11.2025 Ordino - Carroi 3:1
    06.11.2025 Penya Encarnada - Ordino 3:4
    Latest results of Penya Encarnada
    Andorra Primera Divisio Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Escaldes17142131:121944
    2UE Santa Coloma18132339:122741
    3FC Santa Coloma18104437:152234
    4FC Rangers18103532:131933
    5Atletic Escaldes1882824:20426
    6Penya18531016:34-1818
    7Ordino17421118:33-1514
    8Carroi18341111:40-2913
    9Esperanca1804147:36-294
    10Pas de la Casa00000:000

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