Santanyí vs Penya Independent – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)

Chances of winning


Santanyí
23.4%
Draw
26.9%
Penya Independent
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 27.1% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 24.8% 45.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santanyí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santanyí than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Santanyí - Penya Independent Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.87
    (3.88)
    3.37
    (3.34)
    1.83
    (1.83)
    10.3%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Santanyí has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Penya Independent's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Santanyí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Penya Independent is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santanyí won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santanyí won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santanyí - Penya Independent were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Penya Independent - Santanyí 4:0
    20.05.2023 Penya Independent - Santanyí 1:0
    13.05.2023 Santanyí - Penya Independent 2:1
    18.03.2023 Santanyí - Penya Independent 1:0
    20.11.2022 Penya Independent - Santanyí 2:1
    Latest results of Santanyí
    30.04.2025 Migjorn - Santanyí 1:1
    26.04.2025 Santanyí - Constancia 2:3
    19.04.2025 Porreres - Santanyí 3:1
    11.04.2025 Santanyí - Binissalem 2:0
    Latest results of Penya Independent
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mallorca B32255297:217680
    2Manacor32244468:343476
    3Pena Deportiva32198566:283865
    4Constancia321751056:282856
    5Llosetense32159856:381854
    6Inter Ibiza321551242:39350
    7Formentera321212835:26948
    8Mercadal321441428:36-846
    9Cardassar321181334:51-1741
    10Platges de Calvia321161536:38-239
    11Santanyi321081440:55-1538
    12Binissalem329101323:33-1037
    13Alcudia321141734:58-2437
    14Son Cladera321051737:58-2135
    15Portmany32861824:47-2330
    16Collerense325101739:61-2225
    17Felanitx324111727:57-3023
    18Rotlet Molinar32482032:66-3420

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