Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Pirola F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Muroni M. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
- 57', Jaouhari Z. 🟨,
- 59', Scuderi G. 🟨,
- 68', Tremolada M. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
- 68', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Careccia S. ↑,
- 70', Careccia S. 🟨,
- 73', Tordini M. 🟨,
- 75', Tordini M. ↓, Pitou J. ↑,
- 75', Scuderi G. ↓, Olivieri D. ↑,
- 77', Petrovic T. ↓, Ferrandino D. ↑,
- 84', Invernizzi A. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
- 84', Morselli F. ↓, Rebaudo R. ↑,
- 88', Roversi L. ↓, Meconi E. ↑,
- 89', Corti N. ↓, Rossetti M. ↑,
- 90+4', Rebaudo R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alcione
41.2% | Draw
32.1% | Pergolettese
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcione's form might have worsened.Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Alcione - Pergolettese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.92) |
2.86 ↓
(3.14) |
3.43 ↓
(4.05) |
9.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alcione - Pergolettese?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Pergolettese (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pergolettese (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Alcione is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Alcione won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcione won against Pergolettese?
Alcione has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pergolettese won against Alcione?
Pergolettese has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcione - Pergolettese were as follows:
11.10.2025
Pergolettese
-
Alcione
0:2
29.03.2025
Alcione
-
Pergolettese
2:1
16.11.2024
Pergolettese
-
Alcione
1:2
Latest results of Alcione
Latest results of Pergolettese
Draw
Play Offs1/32-finals| 1 | Trento | Giana Erminio | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Cittadella | Arzignano | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Lumezzane | Alcione Milano | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Juventus U23 | Vis Pesaro | 2 : 2 |
| 5 | Pianese | Ternana | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Pineto | Gubbio | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Casertana | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Crotone | Audace Cerignola | 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Monopoli | Casarano | 0 : 2 |
