Pérolas Negras vs Duque de Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2 Pérolas Negras - Duque de Caxias
Result
1:0
07/07/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca 2 - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
64
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Pepe ,

Chances of winning


Pérolas Negras
35.5%
Draw
31.4%
Duque de Caxias
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 30.1% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 29.5% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pérolas Negras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pérolas Negras than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Pérolas Negras - Duque de Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.84)
    2.9
    (3.04)
    2.75
    (2.42)
    10%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1 and 10).
    • Pérolas Negras is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Duque de Caxias has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Pérolas Negras
    Latest results of Duque de Caxias
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sao Goncalo (1)Olaria (4)3 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Bangu (2)CEAC/Araruama (3)1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Sao Goncalo (1)Bangu (2)1 : 2, 0 : 1