Pérolas Negras vs Duque de Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/07/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca 2 - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
64
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Pepe ,

Chances of winning


Pérolas Negras
35.5%
Draw
31.4%
Duque de Caxias
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 30.1% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 29.5% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pérolas Negras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pérolas Negras than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Pérolas Negras - Duque de Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.84)
    2.9
    (3.04)
    2.75
    (2.42)
    10%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1 and 10).
    • Pérolas Negras is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Duque de Caxias has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Pérolas Negras
    Latest results of Duque de Caxias
    Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Resende11004:043
    2Americano11002:023
    3Olaria11002:113
    4Serrano FC11002:113
    5Cabofriense11001:013
    6Perolas Negras11001:013
    7Audax RJ10011:2-10
    8CEAC/Araruama10011:2-10
    9Bonsucesso10010:1-10
    10Sao Goncalo10010:1-10
    11America RJ10010:2-20
    12Marica10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Carioca B1