Perpignan vs Cardiff Rugby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Challenge Cup Rugby Perpignan - Cardiff Rugby
Result
23:20
11/01/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 4, France 3

Match Stats

Tries
32
Conversion Goals
12
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
22
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 3)
  • 4', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 36', de Beer T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40', Allan T. (Try),
  • 40+2', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (13 - 17)
  • 43', Lee-Lo R. (Try),
  • 44', de Beer T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 49', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 50', Veredamu T. (Try),
  • 54', de Beer T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 62', Velarte L. (Try),
  • 65', McIntyre J. 🟨,
  • 70', Mulder J. (Try),
  • 70', de Beer T. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Perpignan
59%
Draw
4.2%
Cardiff Rugby
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 5.2% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 5.1% 47.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perpignan's performance.
  • Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff Rugby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perpignan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Rugby than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff Rugby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Perpignan - Cardiff Rugby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.91)
    22.01
    (17.68)
    2.54
    (1.97)
    8.6%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Perpignan - Cardiff Rugby?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:22.
  • Preview Facts
    • Perpignan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cardiff is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Cardiff could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Perpignan
    04.01.2025 Lyon - Perpignan 17:12
    29.12.2024 Perpignan - La Rochelle 21:13
    21.12.2024 Stade Français - Perpignan 24:7
    15.12.2024 Perpignan - Connacht 18:31
    08.12.2024 Cheetahs - Perpignan 20:20
    Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
    01.01.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Ospreys 13:13
    14.12.2024 Cardiff Rugby - Cheetahs 26:10
    07.12.2024 Lyon - Cardiff Rugby 37:26
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1EdinburghLions24 : 12
    2Aviron BayonnaisBulls22 : 32
    3Section PaloiseBath24 : 49
    4MontpellierGloucester17 : 24
    5OspreysScarlets36 : 14
    6LyonSharks34 : 21
    7ConnachtCardiff Rugby35 : 20
    8USA PerpignanRacing 9218 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1EdinburghBulls34 : 28
    2BathGloucester61 : 26
    3OspreysLyon18 : 20
    4ConnachtRacing 9240 : 43

    Semi-finals
    1EdinburghBath24 : 39
    2LyonRacing 9229 : 15

    Final
    1BathLyon37 : 12