Result
20:20
15/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Canal+ Live 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 10)
- 15', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 19', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 19', Chilachava L. 🟨,
- 25', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 29', Le Brun L. (Penalty Goal),
- 35', Veredamu T. (Try),
- 40', Raisuqe J. (Try),
- 40+1', Le Brun L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 10)
- 52', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 55', Ardron T. (Try),
- 56', Le Brun L. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 75', Le Brun L. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Perpignan
68.6% | Draw
3.9% | Castres
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perpignan's performance.Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perpignan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castres than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Perpignan - Castres Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.46) |
23.8 ↑
(20.36) |
3.28 ↑
(2.78) |
9.2%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 45.00The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
What is the prediction for Perpignan - Castres?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Perpignan will win (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:19.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Perpignan won 3.
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- In this match Perpignan is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Perpignan to win the game is with odds 1.34.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Perpignan won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 257:307 (average 19.8:23.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Perpignan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 134:102 (average 22.3:17).
How many head-to-head matches has Perpignan won against Castres?
Perpignan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Perpignan?
Castres has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perpignan - Castres were as follows:
21.09.2024
Castres
-
Perpignan
27:12
30.03.2024
Perpignan
-
Castres
43:12
31.12.2023
Castres
-
Perpignan
13:17
28.05.2023
Castres
-
Perpignan
26:16
01.10.2022
Perpignan
-
Castres
14:10
Latest results of Perpignan
Latest results of Castres
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Aviron Bayonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Castres Olympique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montauban | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | USA Perpignan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Stade Toulousain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Racing 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Stade Rochelais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bordeaux Begles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Section Paloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
