Result
20:20
17/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge Cup - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
 World | EPCR Rugby TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 10)
- 4', Aucagne A. (Penalty Goal),
- 22', (Penalty Try),
- 22', Ruiz I. 🟨,
- 25', Smith C. (Penalty Goal),
- 29', Oviedo J. (Try),
- 30', Aucagne A. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 10)
- 58', Smith C. (Penalty Goal),
- 64', Botha P. (Try),
- 65', Smith C. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Duguivalu A. (Try),
- 70', Aucagne A. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Aucagne A. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Perpignan
59.7% | Draw
4% | Lions
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perpignan's performance.Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lions than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Perpignan - Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.69) |
23.54 ↑
(21.33) |
2.5 ↑
(2.22) |
8.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for Perpignan - Lions?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Perpignan will win (votes: 2 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Perpignan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:21.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Perpignan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Perpignan will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Perpignan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:28.
- Including home match between the teams, Perpignan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:28.
How many head-to-head matches has Perpignan won against Lions?
Perpignan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lions won against Perpignan?
Lions has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perpignan - Lions were as follows:
10.12.2023
Perpignan
-
Lions
12:28
Latest results of Perpignan
Challenge Cup Rugby Table
MainGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Montpellier | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 119:77 | 20 |
| 2 | Zebre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 99:81 | 14 |
| 3 | Ospreys | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 102:97 | 13 |
| 4 | Connacht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 179:71 | 13 |
| 5 | Black Lion | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 58:132 | 5 |
| 6 | Montauban | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 81:180 | 2 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Benetton | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 182:89 | 19 |
| 2 | Newcastle Red Bulls | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 75:78 | 13 |
| 3 | Dragons | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 96:148 | 9 |
| 4 | USA Perpignan | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 111:107 | 8 |
| 5 | Lions | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 90:93 | 8 |
| 6 | Lyon | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 87:126 | 3 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ulster | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 141:55 | 17 |
| 2 | Stade Francais Paris | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 129:90 | 16 |
| 3 | Exeter Chiefs | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 129:70 | 14 |
| 4 | Cardiff Rugby | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 78:108 | 10 |
| 5 | Racing 92 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 82:152 | 8 |
| 6 | Cheetahs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 62:146 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Challenge Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
