Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Persebaya Surabaya
56.3%
Draw
24.7%
Madura United
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 24.7% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 23.7% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.62)
    3.7
    (3.71)
    4.83
    (4.86)
    9.2%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 3.
    • Recent performances by Persebaya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Madura United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Persebaya is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Madura United - Persebaya Surabaya 0:1
    20.04.2025 Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United 1:0
    02.12.2024 Madura United - Persebaya Surabaya 1:2
    13.03.2024 Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United 0:0
    17.09.2023 Madura United - Persebaya Surabaya 3:0
    Latest results of Persebaya Surabaya
    Latest results of Madura United