Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
indonesiaIndonesiaIndosiar, Vidio

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
133
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
166
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
134
Corner kicks
133
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1710
Throw ins
3915
Fouls
814

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Lulinha , Ruxi (A),
  • 27', Freitas Gali 🟨,
  • 36', Numberi G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Junior Brandao , Riquelme ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Riquelme , Alesandro F. (A),
  • 66', Malik R. , Ardiansyah R. ,
  • 69', Freitas Gali , Perovic M. ,
  • 69', Firmansyah T. , Baihaqi M. ,
  • 69', Matos P. , Raickovic M. ,
  • 71', Numberi G. , Hidayat T. ,
  • 80', Iran Junior , Sasongko N. ,
  • 80', Lulinha , Sitanggang P. ,
  • 80', Catur A. , Araya K. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Ardiansyah R. , Raickovic M. (A),
  • 87', Wehrmann J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Diky M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Persebaya Surabaya
54.8%
Draw
24.5%
Madura United
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 24.7% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 23.7% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.62)
    3.78
    (3.71)
    4.48
    (4.86)
    7.9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Persebaya will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Madura United will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 3.
    • Recent performances by Persebaya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Madura United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Persebaya is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Madura United - Persebaya Surabaya 0:1
    20.04.2025 Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United 1:0
    02.12.2024 Madura United - Persebaya Surabaya 1:2
    13.03.2024 Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United 0:0
    17.09.2023 Madura United - Persebaya Surabaya 3:0
    Latest results of Persebaya Surabaya
    Latest results of Madura United