Persepolis vs Al-Gharafa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Persepolis - Al-Gharafa
Result
1:1
04/11/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Sooka
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6
south-koreaSouth-koreaTving
spainSpainLaLiga+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
ukraineUkraineSport 2
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldOnefootball, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1515
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
65
Blocked Shots
37
Free Kicks
1214
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
31
Throw-ins
2319
Goalkeeper Saves
25
Fouls
812
Yellow Cards
01
Total Passes
437331
Completed Passes
338255
Clearances Completed
2624
Crosses Completed
117
Interceptions
1214

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Sano S. , Traore D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Yousif A. , Hamed J. ,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Faraji F. , Amiri V. (A),
  • 56', Gunnarsson A. , Al Ganehi A. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Al Ganehi A. ,
  • 60', Sarlak M. , Rigi M. ,
  • 63', Traore D. 🟨,
  • 70', Urunov O. , Ahmadzadeh F. ,
  • 70', Faraji F. , El Amloud A. ,
  • 83', Amiri V. , Joao L. ,
  • 83', Alishah O. , Alkasir I. ,
  • 87', Coman F. , Muntari M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Persepolis
44.8%
Draw
28.1%
Al-Gharafa
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 25.8% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 24.9% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Persepolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Persepolis's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Gharafa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Persepolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Persepolis - Al-Gharafa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.73)
    3.33
    (3.63)
    3.46
    (4.66)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Persepolis - Al-Gharafa?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Persepolis will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Persepolis: 28.1%71.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Persepolis will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Persepolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Persepolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    Latest results of Persepolis
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    31.10.2024 Al-Gharafa - Al-Arabi Doha 3:1
    27.10.2024 Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa 1:1
    22.10.2024 Al-Gharafa - Al Wasl 1:2
    18.10.2024 Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal 3:1
    05.10.2024 Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa 5:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Pakhtakor (8)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Gwangju FC (4)Vissel Kobe (5)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    3Al Ahli SC (2)Al Rayyan (7)2 : 0, 3 : 1
    4Johor DT (3)Buriram (6)0 : 1, 0 : 0
    5Yokohama F. Marinos (1)Shanghai Port (8)4 : 1, 1 : 0
    6Al Nassr (3)Esteghlal F.C. (6)3 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Kawasaki Frontale (2)Shanghai Shenhua (7)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Al-Sadd (4)Al Wasl (5)3 : 1, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Gwangju FC (4)7 : 0
    2Al Ahli SC (2)Buriram (6)3 : 0
    3Yokohama F. Marinos (1)Al Nassr (3)1 : 4
    4Kawasaki Frontale (2)Al-Sadd (4)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Al Ahli SC (2)1 : 3
    2Al Nassr (3)Kawasaki Frontale (2)2 : 3

    Final
    1Al Ahli SC (2)Kawasaki Frontale (2)2 : 0