Persepolis vs Al-Gharafa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Persepolis - Al-Gharafa
Result
1:1
04/11/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Sooka
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6
south-koreaSouth-koreaTving
spainSpainLaLiga+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
ukraineUkraineSport 2
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldOnefootball, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1515
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
65
Blocked Shots
37
Free Kicks
1214
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
31
Throw-ins
2319
Goalkeeper Saves
25
Fouls
812
Yellow Cards
01
Total Passes
437331
Completed Passes
338255
Clearances Completed
2624
Crosses Completed
117
Interceptions
1214

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Sano S. , Traore D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Yousif A. , Hamed J. ,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Faraji F. , Amiri V. (A),
  • 56', Gunnarsson A. , Al Ganehi A. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Al Ganehi A. ,
  • 60', Sarlak M. , Rigi M. ,
  • 63', Traore D. 🟨,
  • 70', Urunov O. , Ahmadzadeh F. ,
  • 70', Faraji F. , El Amloud A. ,
  • 83', Amiri V. , Joao L. ,
  • 83', Alishah O. , Alkasir I. ,
  • 87', Coman F. , Muntari M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Persepolis
44.8%
Draw
28.1%
Al-Gharafa
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 25.8% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 24.9% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Persepolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Persepolis's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Gharafa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Persepolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Persepolis - Al-Gharafa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.73)
    3.33
    (3.63)
    3.46
    (4.66)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Persepolis - Al-Gharafa?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Persepolis will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Persepolis: 28.1%71.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Persepolis will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Persepolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Persepolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    Latest results of Persepolis
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    31.10.2024 Al-Gharafa - Al-Arabi Doha 3:1
    27.10.2024 Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa 1:1
    22.10.2024 Al-Gharafa - Al Wasl 1:2
    18.10.2024 Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal 3:1
    05.10.2024 Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa 5:0
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe22004:046
    2Seoul21104:134
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima21103:124
    4Ulsan HD21103:214
    5Gangwon21012:203
    6Chengdu Rongcheng21012:203
    7Buriram21012:4-23
    8Machida20201:102
    9Shanghai Shenhua20112:3-11
    10Johor DT20111:2-11
    11Shanghai Port20111:4-31
    12Melbourne City20020:3-30


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal22005:326
    2Al Ahli SC21106:424
    3Al Sharjah21105:414
    4Al Wahda21102:114
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai21102:114
    6Al-Gharafa21015:413
    7Al-Sadd20202:202
    8Tractor20201:102
    9Al-Duhail20113:4-11
    10Al Shorta20111:3-21
    11Al Ittihad20021:3-20
    12Nasaf Qarshi20024:7-30

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)