Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
26/12/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandShabake 3

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Rafiei S. , Alipour A. (A),
  • 39', Ramezani A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Omri M. , Alishah O. ,
  • 46', Bifouma T. , Kazemian A. ,
  • 47', Barajeh Y. 🟨,
  • 57', Arab F. 🟨,
  • 60', Sedghi A. 🟨,
  • 68', Naghizadeh A. , Nariman S. ,
  • 70', Sedghi A. 🟨,
  • 82', Barajeh Y. , Aurier S. ,

Chances of winning


Mes Rafsanjan
13.7%
Draw
27.1%
Persepolis
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11% 24.1% 64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.7% 23.5% 66.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mes Rafsanjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Persepolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persepolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persepolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mes Rafsanjan - Persepolis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.67
    (8.1)
    3.39
    (3.71)
    1.55
    (1.38)
    9%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Mes Rafsanjan - Persepolis?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Persepolis will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Persepolis: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Persepolis (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 1.
    • Mes Rafsanjan has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Persepolis is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Persepolis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Persepolis is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mes Rafsanjan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mes Rafsanjan - Persepolis were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Mes Rafsanjan - Persepolis 0:3
    21.12.2024 Persepolis - Mes Rafsanjan 1:3
    01.06.2024 Persepolis - Mes Rafsanjan 1:0
    01.01.2024 Mes Rafsanjan - Persepolis 1:1
    31.03.2023 Mes Rafsanjan - Persepolis 0:1
    Latest results of Mes Rafsanjan
    Latest results of Persepolis
    18.12.2025 Tractor Sazi - Persepolis 2:1
    09.12.2025 Paykan - Persepolis 0:1
    05.12.2025 Persepolis - Esteghlal 0:0
    Iran Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tractor22109330:121839
    2Esteghlal F.C21108327:151238
    3Sepahan21115524:131138
    4Gol Gohar23106724:24036
    5Persepolis2297623:19434
    6Chadormalu2188525:19632
    7Fajr Sepasi2286824:25-130
    8Kheybar Khorramabad2278722:22029
    9Malavan2278713:21-829
    10Foolad21610519:16328
    11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:23-725
    12Paykan2258915:21-623
    13Shams Azar Qazvin22313615:17-222
    14Aluminium Arak22571014:21-722
    15Zob Ahan21310812:19-719
    16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:29-1615

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Azadegan League