Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 11

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Rafiei S. ,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Mohebi S. ,
  • 29', Sourgi M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Sourgi M. (Pen),
  • 60', Alishah O. , Ahmadzadeh F. ,
  • 60', Rafiei S. , Khodabandelou M. ,
  • 70', Sarlak M. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Urunov O. ,
  • 78', Mamizadeh M. , Fadakar S. ,
  • 83', Urunov O. , Kazemian A. ,
  • 90', Alipour A. , Abarghouei H. ,
  • 90', Aurier S. , Omri M. ,
  • 90+6', Shojaeian D. , Zand A. ,
  • 90+6', Nesaei A. , Daghagheleh A. ,

Chances of winning


Shams Azar Qazvin
14.5%
Draw
30.5%
Persepolis
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.2% 25.4% 58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6% 24.5% 60.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shams Azar Qazvin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Persepolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persepolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shams Azar Qazvin - Persepolis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.45
    (5.5)
    3.06
    (3.5)
    1.7
    (1.52)
    7%
    (12.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Shams Azar Qazvin - Persepolis?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shams Azar Qazvin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Persepolis will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shams Azar Qazvin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 3).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Persepolis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Persepolis is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shams Azar Qazvin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shams Azar Qazvin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shams Azar Qazvin - Persepolis were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Shams Azar Qazvin - Persepolis 3:2
    26.10.2024 Persepolis - Shams Azar Qazvin 2:0
    28.05.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin - Persepolis 1:3
    24.12.2023 Persepolis - Shams Azar Qazvin 2:1
    Latest results of Shams Azar Qazvin
    Latest results of Persepolis
    Iran Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tractor22109330:121839
    2Esteghlal F.C21108327:151238
    3Sepahan21115524:131138
    4Gol Gohar23106724:24036
    5Persepolis2297623:19434
    6Chadormalu2188525:19632
    7Fajr Sepasi2286824:25-130
    8Kheybar Khorramabad2278722:22029
    9Malavan2278713:21-829
    10Foolad21610519:16328
    11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:23-725
    12Paykan2258915:21-623
    13Shams Azar Qazvin22313615:17-222
    14Aluminium Arak22571014:21-722
    15Zob Ahan21310812:19-719
    16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:29-1615

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