Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persipura Jayapura – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
25
Corner kicks
06
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
713
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
58
Corner kicks
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Yudo K. , Ragil M. (A),
  • 26', Ragil M. 🟨,
  • 40', Yudo K. , Alkanza Y. ,
  • 45+1', Artur 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', 2 - 0, Ragil M. , Prasetyo A. (A),
  • 63', Ragil B. 🟨,
  • 69', Mandowen G. , Pahabol F. ,
  • 69', Rumakiek R. , Solossa B. ,
  • 76', Ragil B. , Sroyer J. ,
  • 76', Salampessy R. , Madjar M. ,
  • 86', Sunuk R. , Uopmabin F. ,
  • 86', Felipe Ryan , Harjito A. ,
  • 86', Firmansyah A. , Alhafiz H. ,
  • 87', Ragil M. , Arifin S. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Lugo W. , Solossa B. (A),

Chances of winning


Tornado Pekanbaru
38.7%
Draw
30.4%
Persipura Jayapura
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 26% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 25.1% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tornado Pekanbaru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tornado Pekanbaru's form might have worsened.
  • Persipura Jayapura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persipura Jayapura's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tornado Pekanbaru than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tornado Pekanbaru, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persipura Jayapura than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persipura Jayapura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tornado Pekanbaru - Persipura Jayapura Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (1.79)
    2.98
    (3.55)
    2.93
    (4.08)
    10.7%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Tornado Pekanbaru is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Persipura Jayapura's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tornado Pekanbaru may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tornado Pekanbaru might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tornado Pekanbaru won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tornado Pekanbaru won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tornado Pekanbaru - Persipura Jayapura were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Tornado Pekanbaru - Persipura Jayapura 1:0
    28.09.2025 Persipura Jayapura - Tornado Pekanbaru 2:3
    Latest results of Tornado Pekanbaru
    Latest results of Persipura Jayapura